The Texas General Land Office (GLO) has produced a disaster preparedness video guaranteed to make you smile. It features GLO Commissioner Dawn Buckingham, MD, unpacking a disaster preparedness kit with several very young and very cute Texans. The 3-minute video is both informative and fun. Make sure you watch it with your children or grandchildren.
Every Texan, regardless of age should know how to pack a go-bag. Said Buckingham, “Including your children in your planning and preparations helps ensure the next generation will be ready for potential severe weather events. Plus, you just never know what they’ll say!”
Whether excessive heat waves, powerful tornadoes or damaging hurricanes, it is important to be prepared to evacuate. Texas has had 372 declared disasters since 1953. That’s more than five per year!
Of Texas’ total declarations, more than 30% happened in August or later. Evacuations are more common than most may think, and few disasters come with a lot of warning time.
Important Steps
As we approach the peak of hurricane season in the next month, the GLO encourages all Texans to prepare by doing the following:
Know Your Risk – Sign up for your community’s emergency warning system. The Harris County Flood Warning System lets you customize flood alerts by the watershed you live in, the gages nearest you, the amount of rainfall, and the water level in the nearest stream/river. The Emergency Alert System (EAS) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Weather Radio also provide emergency alerts.
Make Your Evacuation Plan – Check with local officials about updated evacuation shelters for this year. Know where your family will meet up if you are separated and where you will stay. Pack a “go bag” including items you need to take with you if you evacuate. A “go bag” should be easy to carry and kept in a place where you can grab it quickly. Check with drivetexas.org to find routes near you. To find a shelter near you, download the FEMA app at fema.gov/mobile-app.
Gather Supplies – Plan for your entire household including children, people with disabilities or access/functional needs, and pets.
Secure Documents – Remember to secure copies of important personal documents. Filing for government assistance requires documentation. Be sure to keep documents in a secure location and take them with you if you need to evacuate. Place these documents in a waterproof bag and back them up on cloud storage or a thumb drive.
Photograph the condition of your home and the items in it. That may prove valuable when making insurance claims.
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/unboxing-video-still_original.png?fit=624%2C349&ssl=1349624adminadmin2023-08-14 13:25:192023-08-14 13:27:33This Disaster Preparedness Video Will Make You Smile
Two weeks short of Harvey’s sixth anniversary, FM1010, the main north/south artery between Huffman and Cleveland is still blown out due to excessive, uncontrolled runoff from Colony Ridge. Colony Ridge is the world’s largest trailer park and it’s just upstream near the East Fork San Jacinto in Liberty County. The productivity loss of local residents could easily have added up to half of a billion dollars by now.
Photos taken 8/12/23
I took all the photos below from a helicopter on Saturday, 8/12/23.
Blown out portion of FM1010, aka the Huffman-Cleveland Roadand Plum Grove RoadThe washout forces tens of thousands of nearby residents to take detour.
During rush hours, the backups on FM2090 from traffic trying to get to US59 can stretch miles because of failure to repair this bridge.
The washed out bridge lies at the end of this 2-mile Colony Ridge water cannon.This Colony Ridge drainage ditch, like most others, does not have backslope interceptor swales to help control erosionor runoff.
Neither does this part of Colony Ridge have detention basins to help reduce the amount of runoff flowing into the East Fork San Jacinto.
Estimated Cost of Delays
I wonder if it’s even possible to accurately calculate the number of “people hours” lost to the senseless washout of the FM1010 bridge. But I will try.
For the sake of argument:
Assume 10,000 commuters are inconvenienced for an hour a day (half hour each way).
Multiply that times 365 days and then again by 6 years. You come close to 22 million hours.
Now multiply that times $25/hour.
Assuming these numbers are even in the ballpark, the washout could have cost local residents more than half of a billion dollars. Geez! How much can a twin culvert bridge and some blacktop cost?!
Expansion Accelerates Despite Access Issue
But that hasn’t stopped the Colony Ridge developer from expanding.
Colony Ridge now comprises more than 30 square miles. It has virtually doubled in size in the last two years.Landsat photo from 7/18/23courtesy of Google Earth.
The development started around 2010. It now occupies 50% more land than Kingwood, which is now more than 50 years old.
The developer must be banking on a rapid increase in demand. He reportedly advertises in Mexico and Central America. The pitch: “Own your piece of America.”
Here’s what that looks like:
Note how the back yard is eroding into the drainage ditch.Photo courtesy of Chris Russo.
Long-Time Plum Grove Resident Worries about Evacuation During Storms
The long ditch above drains into Rocky Branch. According to a long-time Plum Grove resident, the stream was completely invisible from FM1010 “back in 2008 and 2011 even.” Then, he says, “Colony Ridge excavators and dozers showed up.” They widened and deepened the stream, but on the Colony Ridge side of the culverts only!
According to the resident, FEMA engineers have told Plum Grove that an actual bridge is now required to convey all the water and survive any length of time.
The resident vividly recalls Hurricane Rita approaching the Texas coastline in 2005 – before Colony Ridge. He said, “There was complete gridlock thru the City of Plum Grove as people from the Crosby and Beaumont areas were trying to evacuate inland. Plum Grove Road was bumper to bumper for 3 full days. Residents could not leave or get back home due to the gridlock thru our little city. How will THAT play out when the next Cat IV or V storm approaches us now that all the dense forests have been cleared?”
Good question!
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/13/23
2175 Days since Hurricane Harvey
The thoughts expressed in this post represent opinions on matters of public concern and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/20230812-RJR_2135.jpg?fit=1100%2C733&ssl=17331100adminadmin2023-08-13 19:33:252023-08-14 10:35:55Six Years After Harvey, Bridge Still Blown Out at Colony Ridge
I flew over Lake Houston this morning in a helicopter. I expected to see the barren lake bed in places like you could during the 2011 drought. However, much to my surprise, the lake was virtually full.
Coastal Water Authority Shows Lake Down Only 6 Inches
The Coastal Water Authority, which manages the lake for the City of Houston, shows Lake Houston is only down a half foot.
Water was lapping at the edge of the the spillway.
Lake Houston Dam spillway. Photo take 8/12/23 at approximately 10am.
SJRA Shows Lake Conroe Down About 15 Inches
Lake Conroe is down about 15 inches from its normal conservation pool (the target level). And it hasn’t released any water downstream toward Lake Houston in months. The SJRA’s dashboard shows
Luce Bayou InterBasin Transfer Canal Bringing the Water
So what’s keeping Lake Houston full? What is offsetting drought and evaporation?
A quick check of the gages on the Harris County flood warning system shows areas far upstream have gotten small amounts of rain. But the most water we saw moving all day was coming from the Trinity River via the Luce Bayou InterBasin transfer project.
Luce Bayou Inter-Basin transfer canal bringing water to Lake Houston from the Trinity River on 8/12/23 at 9 am.
Lake Conroe got enough rain to offset some evaporation but not enough to supply Montgomery and Harris Counties.
It’s nice to have backups for Lake Houston in a drought, especially widely scattered backups that can capture rain moving through different parts of the region.
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/12/23
2174 Days since Hurricane Harvey
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/20230812-RJR_1744.jpg?fit=1100%2C733&ssl=17331100adminadmin2023-08-12 18:56:222023-08-12 18:57:40Why Lake Houston Is So Full in a Drought
Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity.
Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Nino event.
Chances of Above Normal Season Increase from 30% to 60%
NOAA forecasters have increased the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 60% (increased from the outlook issued in May, which predicted a 30% chance). The likelihood of near-normal activity has decreased to 25%, down from the 40% chances outlined in May’s outlook. This new update gives the Atlantic a 15% chance of seeing a below-normal season.
Prediction for Named Storms Increase from 12-17 to 14-21
In May 2023, NOAA predicted 12-17 named storms. NOAA’s update calls for 14-21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater). Of those, 6-11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). And of those, 2-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater).
NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. These updated ranges include storms that have already formed this season.
The updated 2023 Atlantic hurricane season probability and number of named storms. (Image credit: NOAA)
The Atlantic basin experienced an active start to the hurricane season with five storms that have reached at least tropical storm strength, including one hurricane already. An average hurricane season produces 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
Climate Factors Influencing Predictions
“The main climate factors expected to influence the 2023 Atlantic hurricane activity are the ongoing El Nino and the warm phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation, including record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures,” said Matthew Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
Sea surface temperature departures from normal for August 10, 2023.Source: NOAA
Considering those factors, the updated outlook calls for more activity, so NOAA urges everyone to prepare now for the continuing season.
Activity should ramp up quickly in August and September, if this season follows the pattern for the last 100 years.
El Nino conditions are currently being observed and there is a greater than 95% chance that El Nino will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter, according to the latest ENSO discussion from the Climate Prediction Center.
El Nino usually results in atmospheric conditions that help to lessen tropical activity during the Atlantic hurricane season. So far, those limiting conditions have been slow to develop.
Climate scientists forecast that the El-Nino associated impacts that limit tropical cyclone activity may not be in place for much of the remaining hurricane season.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center
A below-normal wind shear forecast, slightly below-normal Atlantic trade winds and a near- or above-normal West African Monsoon were also key factors in shaping this updated seasonal forecast.
Five Storms Already
The Atlantic basin experienced a tropical storm in January which was unnamed. Since the start of the season, we have already experienced four other storms.
The 2023 Atlantic tropical cyclone names selected by the World Meteorological Organization. (Image credit: NOAA)
More About Hurricane Season Outlooks
NOAA’s hurricane outlooks are forecasts of overall season activity, not landfalls. A storm’s landfall is usually the result of mesoscale weather patterns and are typically predictable within roughly one week of a storm approaching a landmass.
In June, NOAA deployed a new model to help produce hurricane forecasts. The Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System was put into operations on June 27 and will run alongside existing models for the 2023 season before replacing them as NOAA’s premier hurricane forecasting model.
NOAA urges everyone in vulnerable areas to have a well-thought-out hurricane plan and stay informed through official channels as this season progresses.
I bookmark the National Hurricane Center landing page and check it first thing every morning during the season. NHC expects no tropical activity in the Atlantic during the next seven days.
Reposted by Bob Rehak on 8/11/2023 from the National Hurricane Center
2073 Days since Hurricane Harvey
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/20230811-IMAGE-Hurricane-Outlook-AUGUST-UPDATE-2023-Pie-081023-NOAA.jpg?fit=1100%2C680&ssl=16801100adminadmin2023-08-11 17:14:092023-09-10 17:20:34NOAA Increases 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
Exactly one month before the peak of hurricane season, Kingwood Drive construction has kicked into high gear. Kingwood Drive is one of the area’s primary evacuation routes and experiencing construction bottlenecks.
Source: National Hurricane Center. Data applies to Atlantic Basin.
Luckily, the National Hurricane Center expects no tropical activity in the next seven days. NHC does not forecast beyond seven days.
Aerial Photos Show Traffic Constrictions
Reconstruction of Kingwood Drive between Loop 494 and US59 has begun in earnest. TxDoT has narrowed traffic to one lane in each direction. And according to the City of Houston, TxDoT now estimates that construction may last until October. Previously, TxDoT estimated September.
Dave Martin, City of Houston Mayor Pro Tem, told a board meeting of the Lake Houston Redevelopment Authority this morning that he has asked the City, County and Humble ISD to supply traffic-control officers for the duration of Kingwood Drive construction to help reduce traffic snarls. But just before noon today, inbound traffic was backed up from all the way from 494 to 59.
I took the photos below on Thursday 8/10/2023. They show traffic constrictions in all directions.
Looking N from over Loop 494. Note 494 is still under construction. Number of lanes varies by area.Still looking N. Kingwood Drive bisects the frame L to R and is down to one lane in each direction.At noon, inbound traffic from 59 was backed up to freeway. Outbound traffic on left was less congested. But that part quickly opened up to four lanes at this point today. Note how sidewalk and shoulder on left are being demolished. Focus of construction is on right side.Looking eastbound toward 494. Note fresh concrete in lane on left.Looking SW toward Insperity. Workers are laying rebar in preparation for a concrete pour in upper right corner.Note recent pours in lower right.
The last shot above captures the confusing traffic in this area. Despite the addition of officers, I plan to avoid this area as much as possible until construction is complete.
At the moment, Northpark Drive makes a decent alternative despite construction there, too. Northpark traffic is still two lanes in each direction. And the project manager says it will remain that way throughout construction.
Grand Parkway Construction Went Much Faster
I sure hope that if a hurricane heads this way, TxDoT hustles up. Loop 494 construction started at Kingwood Drive in 2019, four years ago – exactly when TxDot started extending the Grand Parkway east from 59 to Baytown. Grand Parkway crews finished the 33-mile extension to Baytown 15 months ago. The project above covers 3 miles. Reportedly, TxDoT has switched contractors after problems with the first one.
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/10/23
2172 Days since Hurricane Harvey
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/20230810-DJI_0337.jpg?fit=1100%2C733&ssl=17331100adminadmin2023-08-10 14:57:392023-08-10 15:34:24Kingwood Drive Construction Bottlenecks Evacuation Route One Month Before Peak of Hurricane Season
To help accommodate the expansion of Northpark Drive and the Kingwood Diversion Ditch, City of Houston (CoH) contractors are cleaning sediment from under the Northpark Bridges. This effort will eliminate a constriction in the Diversion Ditch that backed stormwater up, forcing it into Bens Branch, flooding people, businesses and schools downstream.
Separately, Week 2 of Northpark Drive expansion has seen other breakthroughs farther west.
Cleaning and expansion of the median ditch have reached almost to the UnionPacific (UP) railroad tracks that parallel Loop 494.
CoH and UP are also reaching agreements – at long last – that will let contractors move forward with construction at a much faster rate.
See more details and photos below.
Photos of Bridge Clean-out Taken 8/8/23
Looking east toward Woodland Hills at sediment removal project under Northpark bridges.Side view looking SE toward North Woodland Hills shows more of work under bridge.Looking west across Diversion Ditch and sediment removal project toward Russell Palmer. Photo by Father TJ Dolce of St. Martha Catholic Church.
8/8/23 Photos of Northpark Ditch Clean-out
Looking East from Northpark median at Public Storage. Note Duncan Donuts on left.Reverse angle looking West shows remaining distance to UP tracks and Loop 494 at intersection.
The ditch clean-out will make room for 5′ x 7′ box culverts like those you see below. Workers have now buried all of the round concrete pipe stockpiled last week. They have also cut through concrete in the crossover between the fireworks stand and Flowers of Kingwood.
Steel cofferdam prevents wall collapse, protects workers in ditch.
According to Ralph De Leon, project manager for the Lake Houston Redevelopment Authority and TIRZ 10, CoH and UP have come to terms on one agreement and are close to finalizing a second.
The first covers covers maintenance and construction. It will let contractors drill under the railroad tracks to address utility issues. Cost: $2.2 million.
The second agreement covers vertical and horizontal easements. Cost: under $200 thousand. The easements will let contractors build a bridge and access roads over the tracks.
However, it will also require the TIRZ to purchase two additional tracts of land north and south of Northpark at the railroad tracks.
Resident Reacts to Sediment Removal in Diversion Ditch
Flood activist and Kingwood resident Chris Bloch lauded the CoH sediment removal under the Northpark Bridge. He called it, “Great news for Kingwood!”
“Removal of the sediment under the Northpark bridges will substantially recover conveyance capacity of the Diversion Ditch,” he added. “When the water level in the Diversion Ditch touches the bottom of the Northpark bridges, the bridge acts as a dam and water levels upstream rise rapidly.” That forces water into Bens Branch, threatening homes and businesses on either side of it.
Remembering Stan Sarman
Bloch worked with former TIRZ president Stan Sarman, who was also an engineer, to approach Mayor Pro Tem Dave Martin and CoH about the need for this project. They agreed that sediment removal from the Diversion Ditch under the Northpark Bridges would help reduce flood risk in Woodland Hills, Hunters Ridge, Bear Branch and Kings Forest.
Martin’s office arranged for the purchase order to get this project done.
Bloch took video during Imelda and shared it with Sarman, who had the original drawings of the bridge and channel from 1972. He is quick to give credit to Sarman who has since passed away. “I am not sure most Kingwood residents appreciate all Sarman did for Kingwood,” said Bloch.
This project and the repair of the channel under the Tree Lane Bridge are valued at nearly $1 million dollars.
Come back soon for more updates. The Lake Houston Redevelopment Authority will hold a public board meeting Thursday at 8 a.m. at the Kingwood Community Center to discuss this and other business.
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/9/2023
2171 Days since Hurricane Harvey
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/20230808-DJI_0248.jpg?fit=1100%2C733&ssl=17331100adminadmin2023-08-09 06:14:272023-08-09 09:13:52CoH Removing Sediment under Northpark Bridges, More Good News on Northpark Expansion
This week, Harris County is releasing to the public a final report on the botched March 2022 primary election – a year after the report’s completion. That’s almost a year after a second botched election last November that has mired the County in lawsuits over election results.
The report recommended a number of changes in election processes. Had the then newly appointed Harris County Elections Administrator Clifford Tatum implemented the recommendations before the November election, many of the problems experienced by voters might have been prevented. But no one has explained why Tatum didn’t.
Most of the problems detailed in March also happened in November.
Fifty pages of election-worker survey data buried at the end of the March election report quantifies the magnitude of the problems that voters experienced.
Quantified the percentages of poll workers who experienced the following types of equipment problems:
Almost one third (31.4%) of workers had problems with the Duos (machines that create both electronic and paper versions of voters’ choices).
One fifth (19.3%) of workers had problems with the Scanners.
One tenth (9.8%) of workers had problems with the ePollBooks.
Question 17 on page 99
Delved into who (among election workers) had the problems and when:
One third (36.5%) of workers had problems with equipment during setup and operation.
The degree of problems did not vary significantly by the amount of election experience that the worker had, suggesting the problems were not caused by inexperience.
The problems virtually doubled on Primary Election Day compared to early voting (24.2% for early voting compared to 46.3% for Election Day).
45.8% of Republican election workers experienced problems compared to 29% of Democrats.
Question 10A on page 66
Measured the rough estimates of election workers as to voters who experienced problems:
6.5% of election workers felt most voters had problems recording votes on new machines.
Another 13.5% felt “less than half” of the voters had problems recording their votes.
So, 20% of election workers saw more than “a few voters” experiencing problems.
Question 9 on page 65
Measured how long it took election workers to get help via phone:
Twice as many Republicans (21.4%) had to wait longer than a half hour on the help line compared to Democrats (11%).
This contributed to long lines during the November election.
Question 7 on page 63
Measured how long it took election workers to pick up supplies:
22.7% of Republicans said they had to wait longer than an hour for their supplies compared to 13.7% of Democrats.
This contributed to many polls opening late in November.
Question 24 on Page 105
Looked at Political Affiliation of poll workers:
Democratic workers outnumbered Republicans by 12.1% (51.5% to 39.4%).
Vague Recommendations Don’t Get to Heart of Issue
The recommendations by the consultant performing the analysis focused mainly on processes and process improvements. Their recommendations on page 108 include:
Refine and prioritize desired objectives and outcomes;
Identify performance measures to meet outcomes;
Inventory the data assets available to measure outcomes;
Identify gaps in available data assets;
Establish clear lines of responsibility among EAO staff for each outcome or category of outcomes; and
Design processes to monitor the progress toward meeting outcomes.
Nowhere in the 114 page report did the consultant use the word “fair,” as in “conduct a fair election” to describe an outcome.
Results of word search in PDF
“B Certified”
The consultant’s report did, however, give us a clue about their company values.
A “B certified” watermark showed up on virtually every page of the ForsMarsh report. I didn’t know what that meant, so I looked it up.
BCorporation.net, a company that B-certifies other companies says, “Certified B Corporations are leaders in the global movement for an inclusive, equitable, and regenerative economy. Unlike other certifications for businesses, B Lab is unique in our ability to measure a company’s entire social and environmental impact.”
In choosing a vendor to audit the election, it would seem that Harris County selected a vendor that was more concerned with social impact than fairness. Their report demonstrates that.
Little Fanfare for Long-Awaited Report
The ForsMarsh Group delivered its report to Harris County on August 31, 2022. It’s now available to the public as the backup to Agenda Item 313 for the August 8, 2023, Commissioners Court meeting. That’s little fanfare for a long-awaited report.
By the way, #313 is a simple transmittal of the report to commissioners. No context or explanation is provided.
Too bad we didn’t have the report in a timely way before the November election last year. So much for transparency!
And little wonder that County Election Administrator Clifford Tatum is playing dodgeball with depositions. At the end of June this year, Tatum failed to appear for a scheduled deposition. And now, attorneys representing Judge Lina Hidalgo filed a motion to quash any further depositions of Tatum.
One Final Qualification and a Question
Harris County has also stonewalled production of records related to the November election. Data in the just-released report finally quantifies issues in the Marchprimary election. However, it does not measureNovemberelection problems directly, i.e., those over which Tatum presided.
Regardless, the Primary data parallels independently compiled evidence of similar problems found on Election Day in November. That raises one final question: Nine months after the November election, why haven’t we seen an official report on it yet?
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/7/23
2169 Days since Hurricane Harvey
The thoughts expressed in this post represent opinions on matters of public concern and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Screenshot-2023-08-07-at-2.29.51-PM-e1691441835206.png?fit=1100%2C684&ssl=16841100adminadmin2023-08-07 16:00:232023-08-07 19:04:33Smoking Guns Buried in Harris County 2022 Primary Election Report
Harris County Precinct 3 Commissioner Tom Ramsey and Daniel Ramos, Executive Director of Harris County’s Office of Management & Budget,will host a town-hall budget meeting to discuss next year’s budget.
Commissioner Ramsey urges you to attend and voice your opinions on how the county should address wasteful spending, save money, and prioritize next year’s budget.
Why You Should Attend
Precinct 3 maintains nearly 47% of the county’s roadways, but only receives 25% of the general funds, and only received 17% of the 2022 Road and Park Bonds.
Commissioner Ramsey expresses the need for the public to attend in order to understand how tax dollars are truly being spent.
This meeting will let you voice your priorities on how Harris County should prioritize its responsibilities and spending of tax dollars.
Meeting Details
WHEN: Monday, August 14th, 2023, 6 PM
WHERE: George H.W. Bush Community Center
6827 Cypresswood Dr., Spring, TX 77379
Q&A SESSION: Following presentations
Free Shuttle Service
The county will offer free shuttle service from the following Precinct 3 Community Centers. Space is limited. Pre-registration required. Call the community center to save your spot!
Barrett Station Community Center
Departs at 3:45 PM
Call (713) 274-2040 to register
Crosby Community Center
Departs at 4:15 PM
Call (832) 927-7730 to register
May Community Center
Departs at 4:30 PM
Call (713) 274-2434 to register
San Jacinto Community Center
Departs at 4:15 PM
Call (713) 274-2860 to register
Trini Mendenhall Community Center
Departs at 4:30 PM
Call (713) 274-3200 to register
County Responsibilities in Texas
For reference, according to the Texas Association of Counties, responsibilities of Texas county government include:
Providing public safety and justice
Registering voters and holding elections at every level of government
Maintaining Texans’ most important records
Building and maintaining roads, bridges and in some cases, county airports
Providing emergency management, health, and safety services
Collecting property taxes for the county and sometimes for other taxing entities
Issuing vehicle registration and transfers
Harris County also offers libraries, parks, and other programs that add to the quality of life for residents. Many play a vital role in the economic development.
So learn more at the Town Hall. Join other concerned residents and let your voice be heard on how tax dollars should be prioritized and spent. I’ll be there. And I hope to comment about the distribution of flood bond money.
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/5/2023
2067 Days since Hurricane Harvey
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Commissioner-Tom-Ramsey.jpg?fit=1100%2C733&ssl=17331100adminadmin2023-08-05 19:54:302023-08-05 20:15:13Mark Your Calendar: Harris County Precinct 3 Budget Meeting
Colony Ridge Land, LLC, developer of the world’s largest trailer park in Liberty County, is buying up Harris County property in the floodplain of the East Fork San Jacinto. Since the property in the Cypress Point subdivision was originally platted, flood maps changed in 2001 and are in the process of changing again. Most of the properties face serious flood risk that the current flood maps may not communicate.
Land Remains Uncleared
Development has not yet started. The land is still heavily wooded…so much so, in fact, that dirt roads developed in the 1980s have become overtaken by trees and undergrowth. They are barely passable according to one person I talked to.
Colony Ridge has acquired at least 19 (but not all) properties within red area.What the partially developed area looked like in 1988. Note unpaved roads nearest river.
Back in the late 1980s, the original developer cleared space for roads and platted the land going down to the East Fork. But today, paved roads stop about a quarter mile short of the river. From the air, those old dirt roads look like a slight indentation in the forest canopy.
Looking NE from over the utility corridor that forms the southern limit of the area. East Fork on right flows toward camera.Looking NE from farther north. Old roadway appears as a crease in the jungle.Still looking NE.Note how pavement on Birchwood Drive stops short of entering area.Reverse angle looking S toward Lake Houston visible as blue streak below horizon in upper left. Lake Houston Park on right.
The Big Question
Why did the original developers stop short of paving roads all the way to the river? The answer likely has something to do with floodplains. Note in the image below how several of the lots border or lay within the floodway. Many more lay within the 100- and 500-year floodplains.
How Bad Could Flooding Be?
But those floodplain maps are outdated and can mislead. High-water marks established by HCFCD and contour maps by the U.S. Geological Survey suggest this property has flooded seriously at least 8 times in the last 20 years.
Elevation profile from USGS National Map
From the East Fork to the end of Oaknoll Drive, the elevation rises from approximately 42.5 feet to 67 feet. The 24.5-foot difference might sound like a lot. But consider this.
In 1994, the flood of record for the East Fork in this area (before Harvey), crested at 76.2 feet. That would have put the highest property near Oaknoll under 9 feet of water. The lowest property near the river would have been under 33.7 feet of water.
Then came Harvey. At the nearest gage, the East Fork crested at 81.2 feet.
That would have put the highest and lowest properties under 14.2 feet and 38.7 feet of water respectively.
Even though most of the acquired properties are shown in the 500-year flood plain, most of them have been under water eight times in the 20 years since 1994.
Floodplains change with better understanding of the climate, upstream development, and better measurement technologies, such as LIDAR. Our current flood maps were developed after Tropical Storm Allison in 2001. But we’ve gotten a lot smarter about flood mapping since then.
That’s why Harris County Flood Control District and FEMA are updating flood maps for this area. The floodplains you see above will likely expand by 50% to 100% according to preliminary guidance from Harris County Flood Control. FEMA is in the process of certifying revised maps and should release them later this year or early next for public comment.
Are Readings from FM1485 Analogous to Cypress Point?
Give or take few feet, the flood depths cited above are probably in the ballpark. Even if the high-water marks at Cypress Point are a few feet lower, they still represent serious flooding.
HarrisCountyFEMT.org shows that the width of the floodplain at FM1485 and Cypress Point, lower left, does not vary significantly.
One of the region’s leading hydrologists who has studied this area extensively felt the flood heights at FM1485 would translate well to Cypress Point where Colony Ridge is acquiring property. Colony Ridge has purchased at least 19 properties in the affected area. The map below shows where they are.
Note how virtually all purchases happened after Imelda, which would have put even higher properties under almost six feet of water.
Another property valuation report shows how the land value decreased 73% after Imelda in 2019. Colony Ridge purchased most of the properties in 2020. Bargain hunting?
Homes on Stilts Likely Unaffordable for Colony Ridge Target Market
Many may not have a firm grasp of English. Few likely understand flood risk, especially the nuances of flood maps in flux. And Colony Ridge typically “owner finances,” meaning buyers don’t go through banks which would require flood studies and flood insurance before making a mortgage loan.
Under today’s guidelines for developing land in floodplains, especially this deep in floodplains, homebuilders would likely have to elevate homes on stilts. And elevating homes 35 feet high would likely make them cost prohibitive for most of Colony Ridge’s primary target market.
Watch this one closely to make sure that no rules get broken.
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/4/23
2166 Days since Hurricane Harvey
The thoughts expressed in this post represent opinions on matters of public concern and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Cypress-Point-Sat-View-Outlined.jpg?fit=1100%2C864&ssl=18641100adminadmin2023-08-04 16:37:572023-08-05 10:22:59Colony Ridge Buying Up Floodplain Land in Huffman
After spending years to study Northpark Drive expansion, partners are wasting no time getting it started. Northpark drainage construction now stretches halfway to US59.
On Friday, 7/25/23, I wrote about contractors starting to stack drain pipe near the Kingwood Diversion Ditch. On Monday, I posted about box culverts being stacked hundreds of yards farther up the ditch. By last night, 8/1/23:
The first pipe in front of Flowers of Kingwood was being buried.
Additional pipe was stacked up approximately another 800 feet toward US59, waiting for installation.
Ditch clearing/prep stretched to the Kings Mill entrance, halfway from the start point to US59.
Of course, work was at different stages along the way. See the pictures below.
Pictures Taken 8/1/2023
Looking NE.Near the Diversion Ditch at the starting point, contractors were starting to bury the 66″ round, concrete pipe.Looking W from over previous shot, 6’x8′ box culverts were lined up on the ditch shoulder as contractors prepped the bottom of the ditch.Looking back east. The culverts stretched to JiffyLube.Looking east from over the Russell-Palmer Road intersection.Looking east from the Kings Mill intersection at the current extent of work.Looking west from the Kings Mill Entry toward Loop 494 and US59.The next step.
The drainpipes now being installed in the center ditch will eventually make a platform for additional lanes of traffic. So Northpark drainage must precede Northpark reconstruction.
Land Acquisition Completed Monday
Ralph De Leon, project manager for the Lake Houston Redevelopment Authority, yesterday dropped off the last two checks for parcels of land that need to be acquired for the expansion of the roadway near US59. That completed a land acquisition process that began in 2019.
Next Steps in Coming Weeks
Resolving CenterPoint Conflicts
A natural gas line runs down the center of the ditch where drainage is being installed. It comes into conflict with the project at 11 points between the railroad on the west and the diversion ditch on the east. Centerpoint has agreed to prioritize that work.
Sign/Fence Conflicts
Near Russell-Palmer Road, a fence in front of one business and a sign in front of another will need relocation.
Sawcutting Crossovers
Contractors will sawcut crossover sections to prep for concrete removal during installation of drainage pipe/culvert.
Expansion of LHRA/TIRZ Project Website
The Lake Houston Redevelopment Authority (LHRA) and TIRZ 10 are expanding their website to inform the public of progress. New features will include:
A 3-week, look-ahead schedule of coming events
Regular updates, at least twice monthly
Videos of work in progress
Check back frequently for more updates. At the moment, this is one of the most important flood mitigation projects in the Kingwood Area.
Northpark drainage is just the first step in the Northpark Drive expansion project. Construction will likely take several years to complete. But it will provide an evacuation route for tens of thousands of Kingwood and Porter residents during floods.
Posted by Bob Rehak on 8/2/2023
2064 Days since Hurricane Harvey
https://i0.wp.com/reduceflooding.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/20230801-DJI_0184.jpg?fit=1100%2C733&ssl=17331100adminadmin2023-08-02 09:53:442023-08-17 15:39:52Northpark Drainage Construction Stretches Halfway to US59 in Less than Week