Two Inches of Rain Should Never Have Caused This

Today, we got two inches of rain between 1:30 and 3:20. That’s according to the closest official gage at US59 and the West Fork. See the graph below. Ben’s Branch came out of its banks almost immediately and nearly flooded St. Martha’s Catholic School and Kids in Action again.

Today’s Rainfall in 10-minute Increments

The closest gage at the West Fork and US59 registered a total of 2.08 inches for the event. In ten-minute increments, it looked like this. Source: HarrisCountyFWS.org.

The Result

St. Martha’s School after two inches of rain in a two hour period. This is what the parking lot of the school looked like 1.5 hours after the rain ended. The floodwaters came from Ben’s Branch which was at a virtual standstill in this area. Water under the Woodland Hills Bridge just south of Northpark Drive barely moved.

St. Martha’s has not yet finished repairs from Imelda. No floodwater actually got in the school today, but it came dangerously close for a rain that was not unusual for this area. The school is at least two feet above the hundred year flood plain and this was a one-year rain at best (see table below).

Across the creek, Heather Jensen at Kids In Action wrote, “We’re currently rebuilding Kids In Action for the second time since May. Can’t stomach a third.” Many people would agree with that!

Expect a Rainfall This Intense at Least Annually

The latest NOAA Atlas-14 rainfall chart for this area shows that we can expect a two-inch rain in two hours at least once a year. If you measure the 10-minute peak, it also works out to a one-year event. Which we’ve had several of this year.

I have lived in Kingwood for 35 years and used to own commercial property near St. Martha’s for twenty years. I have never seen Ben’s Branch do this on a rain like we had today.

During those 35 years, not much has changed along the creek. With few exceptions, the bridges, homes and businesses along this portion of Ben’s Branch have been there the entire time.

New Upstream Development is Major Change

However, new upstream development could be adding to the peaks. The City of Houston confirmed after Imelda that the western tail of Woodridge Village empties into the City storm drains. See two images below.

Photo taken 9/25/2019, looking east. North is left; south is right. The area labeled Woodridge Village in the middle of the shot drains into Ben’s Branch which is out of frame to the right (south).

The storm drains, which also empty Sherwood, in turn empty into Ben’s Branch. See image below.

Looking north along Woodland Hills Drive toward Kingwood Park High School, Sherwood Trails and Woodridge Village. The City says this drain helps empty Woodridge Village.

The shot above is looking north, parallel to Woodland Hills Drive. Below, you can see the reverse angle, looking south. The shot was taken from the second floor of Kids in Action on the north side of the creek. Notice how water from that drain is shooting across the creek, creating more turbulence than the flood itself.

Photo by Heather Jensen of Kids In Action just north of St. Martha’s.

Below St. Martha’s, A Different World

Compare the width of the Ben’s Branch channel in the photos above to the width in the photos below, where the stream goes through a natural area.

Upstream from St. Martha’s, Ben’s Branch is a wide channel. Downstream, shown here, it turns into a narrow, twisting, turning creek. Photo from 9/25/2019, courtesy of St. Martha’s.
Photo from 9/25/2019. Courtesy of St. Martha’s, showing trees encroaching on Ben’s Branch.
In the foreground, you can clearly see evidence of erosion from Imelda. This shot was taken on 9/25/2019. Note the fallen tree in the background. Such blockages create “beaver dams” during heavy rains when other debris catches on them. Photo courtesy of St. Martha’s.

Such obstructions, turns, tangles and narrow beds slow the velocity of the water, causing it to back up. No doubt, these factors play a role in the repetitive flooding, as does upstream development.

Political and Legal Obstructions Complicate Matters

Maintenance responsibilities for this portion of Ben’s Branch are in flux. That may be the kindest way to say it. Nothing has really changed since Harvey.

The Bear Branch Trail Association owns the property according to this deed and the Harris County Appraisal District.

However, from reading the deed, you can see that Friendswood still exercises deed restrictions on the property, especially those applying to drainage. When it comes to saying yea or nay to major changes that affect the character of the greenbelt on either side of Ben’s Branch, Friendswood appears to be in control to this day.

Major Friendswood deed restrictions include:

  • Friendswood reserves for itself multiple easements for drainage. (sec. 3)
  • BBTA must keep the area “healthful” (sec. 8)
  • BBTA may not remove any trees except those that are dead or dying (sec. 8)
  • BBTA may not transfer the land (with a few exceptions that don’t apply to this discussion) (sec. 9)
  • The deed restrictions do not have an expiration date like those for many HOAs.

What Next for Ben’s Branch

Last year, the City reportedly agreed with Harris County Flood Control to assume responsibility for all underground drainage in the county would assume responsibility for all above ground drainage. Since then, the two have been trying to sort out responsibilities.

Harris County Flood Control has sought an easement at least since January from Friendswood and Bear Branch Trail Association. Reportedly, they want to remove some trees, and widen and straighten the channel. However, according to a frustrated Houston City Council Member Dave Martin, no agreement has been reached.

Meanwhile the school for more than 500 children almost flooded for the third time in six months. It’s hard to imagine Kingwood without its largest parochial school or one of its most popular day care/after school facilities. It’s time for

Harris County Flood Control should be concluding a major study of all Kingwood drainage soon…including Ben’s Branch. Let’s hope that helps wake Friendswood up to some new realities.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/29/2019

792 Days since Hurricane Harvey and 40 since Imelda

Is Flood Frequency Really Increasing?

By Debbie Z. Harwell, PhD, Editor of Houston History Magazine

Many claims have been made about increasing local flood frequency. They raise the question, “How accurate are those statements?” The report “Significant Houston Area Floods” by Jill F. Hasling, CCM, offers an interesting list for analysis that ranges from April 1837 through February 2019 (two more floods have since occurred in May and September 2019). 

Increase in Flood Frequency

Our first flood took place in April 1837, just eight months after Houston was founded at the confluence of Buffalo and White Oak Bayous. Six months later another flood found Main Street under four feet of water. But Houstonians persisted…and so did the flooding.

In the first 100 years following Houston’s founding, it experienced 36 floods, in the next 82 years, it has seen an additional 146 floods, or four times as many as in the first century.

Broken down into 30-year periods, the trend looks like this. Note that only 3 years exist in the last column so far and it already has more floods than each of the first two 30-year periods.

Note: Last column contains only three years and already has more floods than each of the first two thirty-year periods.

Percentage of Tropical Vs. Non-Tropical Floods

One might think that our location along the Gulf Coast and the tropical systems that come ashore are to blame for this phenomenon, but tropical systems account for only 15% (27) of these events. The other 85% (155) were caused by rain that either fell in large quantities in a short period of time or lingered in the area for multiple days; this includes 22 winter storms.

Early Flood Mitigation Efforts

With the exception of the 1900 Storm, which hit Galveston but also caused fatalities and flooding on the mainland, the worst of Houston’s early floods occurred in 1929 and 1935 (watch video), causing multiple deaths and wiping out homes, businesses, bridges, and the main water plant. With two back to back floods of this magnitude it was time to take action.

In the midst of the New Deal, the federal government put the Army Corps of Engineers in the flood control business. Houston benefited with funding for the Barker and Addicks Reservoirs, completed in 1946 and 1948 respectively, after a delay during World War II. Although creation of two proposed drainage channels north and south of Buffalo Bayou to relieve flooding did not come to fruition, the reservoirs brought some relief along Buffalo Bayou.  

Influence of Urban Growth on Flooding

As Houston grew, so did it’s flooding problem, going beyond Buffalo and White Oak Bayous to include the other 22 Harris County watersheds. By 1983, Houston floods regularly saw the number of inundated homes reach into the thousands. In 1994, ninety subdivisions, including 3,400 homes, flooded. This flood was considered the benchmark for many Kingwood residents to determine the probability that their home might flood in the future. As a result, many did not have flood insurance when Harvey hit because they believed they were safe since their home did not have water in 1994. 

Today some people point fingers at others, saying their flooding problem is of their own making because they built or bought a house in the floodplain, when in fact the area where their homes are located did not have a flooding problem years earlier. Rather, development around them or upstream created issues. (View Kinder Institute’s interactive map of Houston development.)

This has been documented in Meyerland in the last four years, and the most recent floods in Kingwood’s Elm Grove in May and September 2019 also make a  similar case. The Elm Grove homes had never flooded and did not flood in Harvey, but now they have flooded twice in four months with the water levels increasing. Although a definitive cause for the May flood is in litigation, homeowners believe development north of them created the flooding problem. Sadly some of these residents also did not have flood insurance because they figured they were safe after Harvey.

How Quickly We Forget!

Increasingly, these rain events leave our infrastructure overtaxed, whether trying to handle street runoff or rising water in our bayous, streams, and rivers. It seems, though, that many people have let flooding fall off their radar if they were not personally impacted or time has passed, putting flooding out of sight, out of mind.

When the Kinder Institute asked Houstonians in its annual survey what they thought was the “biggest problem in Houston” prior to Harvey but after the Memorial Day 2015 and Tax Day 2016 floods, only 1% spontaneously replied “flooding.” That number grew to 15% in 2018 when asked post-Harvey. But when surveyed in 2019, with only street flooding the year before, the number who identified flooding as our biggest problem dropped down to 7%. Traffic was the leader, going from 24% in 2017 to 36% in 2019. 

The list of Houston area floods clearly shows that Houston has experienced more frequent flooding of an increasingly serious nature. Everyone thought Tropical Storm Allison was “off the charts” until Harvey hit. Imelda was not as bad as Harvey, but in just two short days it managed to be the seventh leading rain event in the nation.

Need for New Ways to Address Flooding

Major floods in four of the last five years demonstrate that the old ways of addressing flooding a little at a time, or doing nothing at all, are not adequate to protect our families, homes, and businesses and maintain our quality of life in Houston.

  • Debbie Z. Harwell, Ph.D.
  • Editor, Houston History
  • Instructional Assistant Faculty
  • University of Houston

Posted on 10/28/2019 by Debbie Z. Harwell, PhD with help from Bob Rehak

790 Days since Hurricane Harvey and 39 since Imelda

 

How to Get Help from FEMA and SBA

Disaster Recovery Centers Open in Harris, Montgomery Counties to Help Imelda Survivors

Joint state/federal Disaster Recovery Centers (DRC) opened earlier this month in Harris, Montgomery and certain other southeast Texas counties to help disaster survivors affected by Tropical Storm Imelda.

Recovery specialists from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA), local and state agencies will staff the centers. They can answer questions about disaster assistance and low-interest disaster loans. They can also help survivors apply for federal disaster assistance. The closest centers to the Lake Houston Area are at the following locations:

  • Harris County Social Services Building
  • 9418 Jensen Drive
  • Houston, TX 77093
  • May County Center
  • 2100 Wolf Road
  • Huffman, TX 77336
  • Montgomery County Disaster Recovery Center
  • Bullas Sallas Park – Fair Association Building
  • 21675 McCleskey Road
  • New Cany, TX 77359
  • Jack Hartel Bld.
  • 318 San Jacinto Street
  • Liberty, TX 77575

Seven Days a Week (Until Further Notice)

DRCs help state and local officials maximize their reach to as many affected areas and survivors as possible. The centers offer in-person support to Texas homeowners, renters and business owners who sustained damage or losses during Tropical Storm Imelda.

Individual Assistance

Texas homeowners, renters and business owners in Chambers, Harris, Jefferson, Liberty, Montgomery and Orange counties that were included in the major disaster declaration for Individual Assistance may apply for uninsured and underinsured damage and losses incurred from Sept. 17 – 23, 2019.

Individual Assistance for homeowners and renters may be eligible for grants to help pay for temporary housing, home repairs and other serious disaster-related expenses not met by insurance or other assistance programs. 

Disaster survivors must meet the following criteria qualify for assistance through the Individuals and Households Program:

  • Disaster losses are in a presidentially-declared disaster area.
  • The damage to the home must have been caused by the declared disaster.
  • The homeowner must provide proof of ownership.
  • Both renters and homeowners may also be eligible for Other Needs Assistance (ONA) through FEMA. ONA helps survivors with uninsured or underinsured necessary expenses and serious needs caused by the disaster.
  • A member of the household must be a United States citizen, a non-citizen national, or a qualified alien.
  • The damaged home is where the applicant lives the majority of the year.
  • The applicant must have maintained flood insurance if assisted by FEMA in a previous disaster.
  • The damaged home is inaccessible or not livable due to the disaster.
  • The disaster survivor has necessary expenses or serious needs as a result of the disaster that are not covered by insurance or any othersource.

How to Register Online

To register, go online to DisasterAssistance.gov or call the FEMA helpline at 800-621-3362. Help is available in most languages and phone lines are open 7 a.m. to 10 p.m. seven days a week until further notice.

What to Bring if You Go to a DRC

Survivors who plan to register with FEMA at a DRC should have the following information:

  • Social Security number
  • Address of the damaged primary residence
  • Description of the damage
  • Information about insurance coverage
  • A current contact telephone number
  • An address where they can receive mail
  • Bank account and routing numbers for direct deposit of funds

Other Types of Assistance Available

Low-interest disaster loans from SBA are also available to businesses, private nonprofit organizations, homeowners and renters to cover residential and business losses as a result of the disaster. Applicants can visit a DRC for one-on-one assistance, visit www.SBA.gov/disasteror call SBA’s Customer Service Center at 800-659-2955

Here is an SBA Loan Fact sheet.

It explains the three different types of available disaster loans:

  • Business Physical Disaster Loans
  • Economic Injury
  • Home Disaster

The fact sheet also describes:

  • Loan terms
  • Loan limits
  • Interest rates
  • Restrictions on eligibility.
  • Funding of mitigation improvements
  • Refinancing
  • Relocation

This flowchart explains the three-step SBA Loan Application Process – application, verification, loan – much like any other loan.

Finally, this fact sheet discusses the three ways to register and apply: online, in person or by mail.

Difference Between SBA Loan and Individual Assistance

Many people I talk to have been wiped out financially by back-to floods. They fear they may not have the ability to repay an SBA loan. Therefore, they don’t want to apply for one. If you fall into that category, understand that being turned down for an SBA loan may qualify you for Individual Assistance. To get IA, you need to apply for an SBA loan first.

Group Flood Insurance

If you had Individual or Other Needs Assistance from a previous flood, you may already have GROUP flood insurance and not even know it. As part of the effort to reduce future expenses from floods, FEMA directly purchases Group Flood Insurance Policy (GFIP) certificates on behalf of applicants who are required to buy and maintain flood insurance BUT who may not otherwise be able to purchase a policy. FEMA may pay $600 under Other Needs Assistance (ONA) for three years of flood insurance for eligible ONA recipients. So if you flooded during Harvey and again on May 7th or during Imelda, check this out. Here is a factsheet on group flood insurance and a previous post on the subject.

For People with Disabilities

Disaster recovery centers are accessible to people with disabilities. American Sign Language interpreters may be available to assist at a DRC.

FEMA Disaster survivors who are deaf, hard of hearing or have a speech disability and use a TTY may call 800-462-7585 to register. Those who use 711 or VRS (Video Relay Service) or require accommodations while visiting a center may call 800-621-3362. All disaster recovery centers are accessible and equipped with tools to accommodate disaster survivors who need disability-related communication aids.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/27/2019

789 Days after Hurricane Harvey

Crenshaw, Brady, Cruz and Cornyn Ask FEMA to Dredge More of West Fork Mouth Bar

On October 24, 2019, Congressman Dan Crenshaw, along with Texas Senators John Cornyn and Ted Cruz and Representative Kevin Brady (TX-08), sent a letter to Acting FEMA Administrator Peter Gaynor. The letter requested FEMA’s swift approval of the City of Houston’s new plan to dredge more of the San Jacinto river mouth bar.

Letter in Response to New Request Filed by City

The letter came in response to the most recent request from the City for FEMA aid on or about October 11, 2019.

While FEMA has already completed its initial 500,000 cubic-yard debris-removal mission, sediment brought by Hurricane Harvey still exists in the San Jacinto river mouth-bar. To protect Houston, Kingwood, and Humble residents from future flooding, it is imperative that the remaining debris is removed, said Congressman Dan Crenshaw.

“The City of Houston recently filed a Project Worksheet (PW) for debris removal as Category A work under the Public Assistance program,” the group of legislators wrote. “We urge you to use any and all necessary FEMA resources to expeditiously review and approve the city’s PW. Delay will only increase costs and prevent FEMA from fully leveraging presently available dredging assets.”

To see the complete letter, click here.

Great Lakes Packing Up

Great Lakes Dredge and Dock has finished its Army Corps assignment at the mouth bar. I photographed workers continuing to dismantle the company’s dredge this afternoon.

Packing it in. Great Lakes Dismantles its dredge after a little more than a year on the West Fork. Photo taken 10/26/2019.
The command post opposite Marina Drive in Forest Cove was a behind of activity this afternoon.
Note the sections of dredge pipe stacked up in the background. It is no longer connected to the dredge.
Crew and survey boats, cranes and other heavy equipment still remain to support a future dredging effort…but not for long.

The last line of the letter (“leveraging presently available dredging assets”) refers to assets other than the dredge itself. Such assets include the command post opposite Forest Cove, a second launch point in Atascocita, pipe, cranes, and other assets that could soon be removed. See photos above.

TDEM to Forward Request to FEMA

As of yesterday, according to Houston City Council Member Dave Martin, TDEM still had not forwarded the request to FEMA. However, this reportedly falls within TDEM’s normal processing time for such requests. I wouldn’t read too much into it yet. But let’s hope they hustle up. Those crews at the command site were working late into Saturday night. I’m guessing that represents overtime.

You can clearly see from the pictures above how much equipment it takes to support a dredging operation. And remember, each 40-section of dredge pipe weighs 4,000 pounds and there are about 10 miles of it! This request should not be taken lightly.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/26/2019

788 Days since Hurricane Harvey

Bill King Has Best Plan to Address Flooding By Far

Houston is at an existential crossroads. We’ve had five major floods in the last five years. If we can’t reduce flooding, people will no longer want to live here or move here.

With that in mind, I believe flooding is the number one issue a new mayor must address. That’s not to say we don’t have other important issues. But if we don’t address flooding, we’re sunk.

So which of the candidates has the best plan? Bill King…by far.

Comparing Candidates’ Plans

Bill King

King has by far the most developed and comprehensive plan. He has laid out a clear, concise, well researched, actionable statement of objectives, strategies, and financing in seven parts:

These plans have been vetted by dozens of experts throughout the Houston region from both the government and private sectors.

Stopping the diversion of drainage fees will give Houston more cash to put into flood mitigation. This will allow Houston to solicit matching funds quickly and accelerate the development of mitigation projects.

Regional cooperation is also critical, especially for places like the Lake Houston Area. Other counties and cities surround us. As we have seen in Elm Grove, if Montgomery County allows worst practices for new developments, we pay the consequences.

Bill King, candidate for Mayor of Houston, spent the day after Imelda visiting with Elm Grove residents and analyzing the causes.

But we currently have no influence in MoCo, which seems to have a development-at-any-cost-even-if-it-floods-people mentality. Until this problem is fixed, we are all looking down the barrel of a water cannon.

King’s seven white papers contain many great thoughts. King clearly understands flooding issues throughout the city. He is extremely articulate and lays out a compelling plan. I believe he can lead voters and the City to solutions.

Tony Buzbee

Tony Buzbee has flood information on at least two different web sites. His campaign site lists flooding as the number one issue. It has a great discussion of Kingwood. That links to a third-party site that features his vision for flood control. After discussing different types of flooding and their causes, he has three suggestions:

  • Include flood abatement credits as part of the permitting process. They would be good for credits against drainage fees in the first year after construction.
  • Identify projects where flood abatement constitutes at least 15% of the total project cost and move those to the front of the line for permit approval.
  • Publicly recognize a different business each month that replaces concrete with natural surfaces.

Those represent good market-driven proposals. Buzbee says he has many other ideas and that, “My campaign will roll them out once our comprehensive white paper is complete.” It’s getting to be about time for that. Voting has already started.

Sylvester Turner

Sylvester Turner doesn’t seem to have a flood plan that I can find online. His campaign site has a list of his accomplishments while Mayor after Harvey. He also has a blog post called Getting Ready for the Next Big Storm. In it he mostly talks about partnering with other entities that have money to spend on flood mitigation.

But that post, dated August 19, also contains claims that did not come true. For instance, “The City has won permission from FEMA for the Corps of Engineers to include the removal of the mouth bar in the San Jacinto River…” Unfortunately, FEMA and the Corps only scratched the surface of the area around the mouth bar. That’s a big problem when you rely on OPM (other people’s money).

Mayor Turner also lists, “Creating and operating Neighborhood Recovery Centers … through which victims could apply for federal housing repair aid.” Mayor Turner said in a debate that the City had received $1.3 billion for home repair and recovery. However, the State recently took that program over because more than 2 years after Harvey, only 15 people had received aid.

Under Turner’s watch, he did make some changes to building codes. He also created Stormwater Action Teams, a $17 million program actually funded by the City to address hundreds of … you guessed it … deferred maintenance issues.

And after selling Proposition A last year as a way to create a lockbox around the drainage fund, he diverted $44 million from it this year to cover other costs. That’s on top of another quarter billion worth of diversions in previous years. No wonder it takes so long to get things done. One wonders how much of that mouth bar could have been dredged with a tiny portion of that money.

By the City’s own admission, we’re not much better off today than we were the day after Harvey.

Other Reasons I’m Voting for King

King also has experience as a mayor. While Kemah isn’t Houston, it’s a start.

Bill King has prepped for the Mayor’s job since the last campaign. He has studied every city budget and every audit of every budget since then. He’s been involved in Houston politics for decades and knows most of the players. He’s ready to walk into office on Day 1 and start doing the job.

He has the common sense of a business man who understands the importance of a dollar and delivering results NOW, or losing business tomorrow.

King has the integrity and experience to promise what he’s going to deliver and deliver what he promises.

That’s not a comment about Buzbee. I have met both King and Buzbee on multiple occasions and like them both. I just feel that at this point in time, King has more experience in the political arena and a better plan to address flooding.

King first approached me shortly after I started this web site and long before he announced his run for mayor. He asked me to show him the flooding issues in Kingwood. We’ve met more than a dozen times since then.

We have visited every part of the community. We’ve slogged through sand and mud together, slapping mosquitoes, so that he could see the flooding issues firsthand. I’ve seen him crawl under fences to get a better look at how Woodridge Village flooded homes in Elm Grove and North Kingwood Forest. He’s waded through ankle-deep mud on Village Springs.

He’s seen the heartbreak of people whose homes flooded on multiple occasions. He understands this problem on both an intellectual and emotional level. He knows this cannot continue. And that’s why I’m voting for Bill King.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/25/2019

787 Days since Hurricane Harvey and 36 since Imelda

Mayor, City Council Sued Over Diversion of Drainage Fees

Mayor Sylvester Turner and the entire Houston City Council have been sued for allegedly diverting approximately $44 million in drainage fees. This comes after the City campaigned last year to build a “lockbox” around those funds.

Mayor Sylvester Turner, left, Flood Czar Stephen Costello, center, and Council Member Dave Martin, right, took questions from a largely disgruntled crowd at the Kingwood Town Hall meeting on 10.17.19.

Both Turner and City Council Member Dave Martin told an audience at last year’s October town hall meeting in Kingwood, “If you WANT a lockbox around the drainage fee, vote FOR Proposition A. If you DON’T want a lockbox around the drainage fee, vote AGAINST it.” Prop A then passed overwhelmingly with 74% voting FOR.

Troubled History of Drainage Fee

This was actually the second time citizens voted on a drainage fee. In 2010, voters approved the drainage fee by only 51%. Unhappy voters challenged it in court based on the wording that appeared on the ballot. The summary did not disclose that the fee came from a new tax. The Supreme Court agreed and ordered a revote. That occurred in 2018.

Between 2010 and 2018, however, the City became addicted to the new source of money. Bill King exposed how the City had diverted nearly a quarter of a billion dollars from it to pay for things unrelated to drainage. So to keep the gravy train rolling, the City did two things.

  • They said they were creating a lockbox around the money so it could only be used for drainage.
  • Simultaneously, they changed the wording of the amendment to make the drainage fund easier to loot.

After that Town Hall, I emailed both Turner and Martin. I simply asked how the wording of the 2018 version of the charter amendment created a lockbox. Neither would answer directly. Martin and the Mayor’s spokesperson simply repeated, “If you want a lockbox, vote for Proposition A.”

How One Word Can Make a World of Difference

So I investigated the language. The wording of the 2018 version and the 2010 version differed – by only one word. See the post I wrote on October 20th of 2018. In the funding formula, the word “equal” changed to “equivalent” in one place. That meant the word equivalent now appeared TWO times in the formula. And that sent up a red flag for me.

Equal and equivalent sound alike. Most people think they mean the same thing. But the dictionary definitions differ. Equal means you could superimpose one number over the top of a second and not see a difference. Equivalent implies some sort of adjustment factor.

Equivalent gives wiggle room. Equal does not.

For instance, a Canadian dollar is not equal to a US dollar. A Canadian dollar equals 0.76 American. To convert one currency into the other and make them equivalent, you apply the conversion factor.

But what are the conversion factors built into the drainage fee? Those have never been publicly explained. In fact, Turner and Martin adamantly avoided discussing them.

Conversion Factors Help Divert $44 Million

In my opinion, the City deceived voters. There was NOTHING in the language of the charter amendment that created a stronger lockbox. The wording change created a weaker one, as I warned a year ago.

It’s not clear whether any change in the language of the amendment was even legal. The Trial Court’s Final Summary Judgment ordered a new election for Proposition 1 (what it was called in 2010), not a new election on a variation of it.

The net effect: we have less money for drainage, not more. The City diverted $44 million from Drainage to the General Fund. That’s not what voters expected or wanted.

Ignoring Will of the People

Plaintiffs in the lawsuit allege that defendants violated the terms of the City Charter and acted against the will of voters who approved Prop A with 74% casting Yes votes. For the full text of the suit, click here.

Officials led voters to believe they were approving a lockbox around the drainage fee when they were actually approving the opposite.

A Deep Dive into Diversion

Below is a deep dive into how voters (and the Plaintiffs) thought Prop A would work and how the City manipulated numbers to divert money.

At issue is the portion of the drainage fee calculated by the following words:

An amount equivalent to proceeds from $0.118 of the City’s ad valorem tax levy minus an amount equivalent to debt service for drainage and streets for any outstanding bonds or notes issued prior to December 31, 2011, and bonds or notes issued to refund them.

Houston City Charter, Article IX, 22(b)(iii)

Notice the use of the word equivalent TWICE. That gives the City wiggle room to manipulate the figures to the detriment of the drainage fund and the benefit of the general fund.

Plaintiffs in the lawsuit claim that the amount added to the Dedicated Drainage and Street Renewal Fund should have been $252,520,000 minus $161,226,060 or $91,293,940. Yet, according to the City’s 2020 budget, only $47,000,103 will be added to the Fund.

In other words, the City is only paying 51.6 percent of the amount into the fund that a strict “lockbox” interpretation of the City Charter would mandate. More than $44 million that should have gone into the drainage fund will go to the general fund.

“Undisclosed Manipulations”

$44 million is being diverted somewhere else through, in the words of the lawsuit, “undisclosed manipulations.”

The plaintiffs argue that defendants have no discretion to calculate the “amount equivalent to proceeds from $0.118 of the City’s ad valorem tax levy beyond its straightforward mathematical formula.” In other words, they’re arguing for an amount “equal” not “equivalent” to. That’s not the way the amendment is worded. But that is certainly the way the amendment was sold to voters.

Mayor’s Response, According to Fox

According to Fox News, the Mayor’s office released the following statement in response to this lawsuit:

The city disagrees with the premise and the demand of the lawsuit, which would cripple city services. The charter calls for “an amount equivalent to” the $0.118. Once the city had to lower its tax rate because of the revenue  cap, the amount transferred is the equivalent amount under the lower tax rate.

Transferring the 11.8 cent full amount would mean a reduction to the General Fund budget of $50M in this fiscal year alone. That would mean cuts to essential services like police, fire, solid waste, and other services. [Emphasis Added] Mayor Turner doesn’t support that. The 11.8 cents was the amount of the tax rate at the time that covered the existing debt payment that was attributed to previous street and drainage projects. Of a total tax rate of $0.63875 per $100 valuation, the 11.8 cents was equal to 18.5% of the total property tax rate.

The equivalent of 11.8 cents has now exceeded the scheduled annual debt payment for existing debt when Proposition 1 was passed. Using the current tax rate, the percent allocated to DDSRF would increase from 18.5% to over 20%, and with the additional tax rate reduction just adopted, it would be nearly 21%. The city will vigorously defend its position.

By the Mayor’s own admission, the City knew all along that it needed to divert money from the drainage fee into the general fund to pay for other services.

I certainly don’t recall that discussion when the City came to Kingwood selling Prop A. They focused only on “the lockbox.” No official discussed adjustment factors or how they might be calculated. Voters just wanted their drainage issues fixed. And they have not been.

Counterfeiting the Currency of Communication

For me, this was the last straw. This is not a lockbox. It’s not even close. In fact, it’s the opposite of a lockbox. It’s a slush fund for $100,000 a year interns and God knows what else. The City isn’t exactly transparent with its accounting.

When elected officials counterfeit the currency of communication, how can the body politic make informed decisions? In this case, the City duped voters into approving the opposite of what they wanted – a lockbox around that money.

They used deception to stifle dissent.

And dissent or disagreement, no matter how difficult, is necessary for the health of the body politic and trust in government. That’s how we build compromises that work for everyone.

How to Make This Right

Voters have one more chance to make this right before it goes back to the Supreme Court again. Early voting started Monday morning. Every registered voter in Kingwood must vote in this mayoral election.

In the last election, Sylvester Turner won by about 4,000 votes City wide. 28,000 registered voters in Kingwood did not bother to vote in that election. We could have swung that election, but didn’t. Now here we are, beset by flooding problems from the streets of Elm Grove to the banks of the San Jacinto.

We must put people in City Hall that we can trust. Please get your neighbors, friends and family to the polls.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/24/2019

786 Days since Hurricane Harvey and 34 since Imelda

All thoughts expressed in this post represent my opinions on matters of public policy. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.

SJRA To Hold Meeting Thursday at 6 p.m. To Discuss New Flood Forecasting Tool

The San Jacinto River Authority (SJRA) will hold an initial public meeting tomorrow night to discuss its Flood Forecasting and Reservoir Operations Tool project.

  • Date: Thursday, October 24, 2019
  • Time: 6:00 p.m.
  • Place: SJRA General and Administrative Building Board Room, 1577 Dam Site Road, Conroe, Texas, 77304

Objectives of Forecasting Tool

The SJRA hopes to develop a tool that can:

  • Predict peak release rates of storm water from Lake Conroe
  • Anticipate peak water levels in Lake Conroe during rainfall events based on weather forecasts, observed rainfall, lake levels, and other data
  • Improve communication with Offices of Emergency Management and the public during storms. 

Need for Faster, Better Information

“Getting information out as early as possible is essential during potential floods,” said Chuck Gilman, Director of Water Resources and Flood Management for the SJRA.  

“The Flood Forecasting and Reservoir Operations Tool will take data from across the region and analyze it utilizing a model of the Lake Conroe Watershed to make predictions regarding flood threats. That will help us provide timely, accurate information for people to make decisions to protect themselves, their families, and property,” he added.

The gates at Lake Conroe can release water at up too 150,000 CFS. During Harvey they released almost 80,000 CFS.

During Hurricane Harvey, many people lost vehicles and valuables that could easily have been saved by driving them to higher ground if they had had more warning time. This project should help with that.

Available by Fall 2020

The Project will complete in fall 2020. A written technical memorandum will summarize recommendations for the tool. 

The Texas Water Development Board (TWDB) and SJRA will jointly fund the project. TWDB offers grants to political subdivisions in Texas for evaluation of structural and nonstructural solutions to flooding problems and flood protection planning. 

To Offer Input

Anyone interested may attend the meeting to express their views with respect to the project.  

Questions or requests for additional information may be directed to:

  • Matt Barrett, P.E.
  • Division Engineer
  • SJRA
  • 1577 Dam Site Road
  • Conroe, Texas 77304
  • Telephone (936) 588-3111

If you plan to speak, contact Matt Barrett either in writing or by telephone in advance of the meeting. If you cannot attend but have views you would like to share, contact Barrett today.

For additional information on SJRA, visit www.sjra.net.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/23/2019

785 Days after Hurricane Harvey

One Week After Town Hall, Still No New Work on Woodridge Village Detention Ponds

A week after J. Carey Gray, a lawyer representing Perry Homes’ subsidiaries and contractors, promised the Mayor of Houston that his clients would move as quickly as possible to complete Woodridge detention ponds, there still has been no excavation activity at the job site. And in fact, according to Jeff Miller, an Elm Grove resident who visited the site today, much of the material and equipment that had been on site are now gone.

Lack of Detention Implicated in Two Floods

Twice in four months, Elm Grove and North Kingwood Forest flooded severely when water from Perry Homes’ troubled Woodridge Village development overflowed into the streets of those communities immediately south and east of Woodridge. 

  • Before the May flood, Perry had clearcut virtually the entire 268 acres, but installed only 7% of the detention. 
  • Before the September flood, they had substantially completed only one more pond, bringing the total to 23% of the planned detention. 
Percentage capacity of the five planned detention ponds on the Woodridge Village construction site as measured in acre feet. To date, only S1 and S2 are substantially complete.

So it’s not too surprising that the completed detention ponds overflowed in heavy rains. 

It was like trying to store 100 gallons of water in a 23 gallon container.

Excavation Work on Detention Ponds Stopped for Two Months

Where’s Larry the Cable Guy when you need him? He could “git-r-done.” 

As the pictures below show, there’s one piece of excavation equipment on the northern portion of the site and it hasn’t moved for about a month.

Looking west at northwestern section of Woodridge Village from helicopter more than a month ago, on 9/21/2019, two days after Imelda. Note the yellow excavator with its bucket resting on the ground in the middle of the frame toward the tree line on the right.
Note the same excavator in the same place in the same position at the left of the frame. Photo taken 10/16/2019 from opposite direction, looking east.The foreground is where detention pond N1 should be. But the pond has not yet been started. According to the LJA Engineering report, it should have been excavated as part of the first phase of development.

Eight days later, you can see the same equipment still in the same place. However, it appears that two other pieces are now parked with it.

Photo taken by Jeff Miller on 10/22/2019 shows excavator in same photo it was photographed in on 9/21/2019a month earlier.

Only Modest Repair Work on Ponds Since August

Resident Jeff Miller reported that an excavator removed some eroded sediment out of one completed pond (S1) after Imelda. Below is the photo he took on 10/6/2019. However, this was repair work, not new excavation work.

Photo of S1 Repair Work taken on 10/6/2019 by Jeff Miller. S1 was the first pond completed.

Four Detention Ponds Promised as Part of Phase 1

According to the LJA Engineering Drainage Impact Analysis, Table 3, Phase 1 of this development was to have FOUR detention ponds installed: N-1 and N-2 (regraded pilot channel) on the north, S-1 and S-2 on the South. 

However, no new detention capacity exists on the northern section which has the steepest slope and the largest surface area. It was to provide 77% of the total detention.

N-1 and N-2 should provide 62% of the detention capacity. However, N-1 doesn’t exist. N-2 is not fully excavated. And N-3, which will provide another 15% is only a distant dream.

Hundreds of Families Remain at Risk

The lack of progress on detention places hundreds of families at risk as we slog our way through another 5 weeks of hurricane season. The season ends on November 30. But flood-weary residents also remain wary of non-tropical storms, such as Tax Day, Memorial Day, and May 7th this year. In the moist, Gulf-coast region, heavy storms can strike any time of year.

J. Carey Gray’s Promise

Last week, J. Carey Gray, Attorney at Law, made a promise to the City of Houston’s top lawyer, Mayor Sylvester Turner. Gray said, “To the extent possible, we will attempt to begin each project as quickly as plans can be completed and approved.”

Now, there’s an iron-clad contract if I ever saw one! However, as of October 22, 2019, no residents that I consulted around the site had seen any workers recently. Mr. J. Carey Gray, Attorney at Law, dated his letter October 17th.

According to resident Nancy Vera who lives immediately south of the construction site, there has been no recent construction activity anywhere on the site that she or her family can see.

Gretchen Smith who can see the site from her front yard in Porter has seen no workers.

Jeff Miller visits the site almost daily to check progress or non-progress of work. He had not seen any workers lately either. Moreover, he said that much of the materials and heavy equipment that had been stored on site appear to be gone.

Maybe Mr. Gray needs to consult with Larry, the Cable Guy.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/23/2019, with help from Jeff Miller, Nancy Vera, and Gretchen Dunlap-Smith

785 Days since Hurricane Harvey and 34 since Imelda

All thoughts in this post represent my opinions on matters of public policy and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.

Where Thousands of Trees Once Stood: The New Woodless Northpark Woods

Recently, I flew up the West Fork of the San Jacinto in a helicopter and got some pictures of the new 91-acre Northpark Woods subdivision. It’s just north of Northpark, between Sorters Road and the West Fork. Where thousands of trees once stood, I saw a massive gash in the landscape. But when reviewing my photos, something else jumped out at me – the density of this subdivision and the percent of impervious cover it will have. Both the loss of trees and the higher percentage of impervious cover increase flood risk.

Inner-City Density Comes to Suburban MoCo

I previously wrote about Northpark Woods in a post called “Living on the Edge or the Death of Caution.”

As we saw Perry Homes do with Woodridge Village, this developer clear-cut the land. Trees often don’t survive the heavy equipment used in construction. And working around them consumes time. So builders find it simpler and cheaper to let homeowners replant them. However, regrowth can take decades, especially in heavily compacted soil which stunts tree growth.

But the tiny lots in this subdivision mean buyers may never even attempt to replant trees. There’s not much room for them.

More Impervious Cover Per Lot

Developments with tiny lots have more impervious cover (roofs, driveways, streets, sidewalks) as a percentage of the lot. The higher the percentage of impervious cover, the faster runoff accumulates, and the higher flood waters peak.

Graphically, it looks like this.

Note how much faster and higher Brays Bayou flooded as the areas around it developed. Source: “Houston a Year After Harvey: Where We Are and Where We Need to Be” By Jim Blackburn and Phil Bedient.

Aerial Images Taken on 10.2.19

Photographically, it looks like this. A civil engineer told me that homes like these can have 80% impervious cover.

Note how closely the homes are spaced. In the second row of 7 homes, you can see that garages take up almost the entire width of each home except for a front door. Driveways will eliminate most of the front yards as you can see on the developer’s web site. Looking NW. Sorters Road is on the right on a diagonal.
Compare the density and tree cover in the foreground to that of Oakhurst, beyond the tree line in the far background. Looking NE toward Oakhurst. Also note the huge erosion holes downstream of the weirs in the ditch. Those will soon be in homebuyers back yards.
Note the proximity to the San Jacinto West Fork (as well as abandoned and active sand mines), in the background. Looking west toward West Fork and the Hallett Mine. Here, you can also see how that ditch erosion is already threatening the road along its side.

In Shenandoah, TX, upstream from here, the City has allowed up to 10 lots per acre with 90% impervious cover!

Shifting Flood Plains

A Denver-based developer plans to sell these as starter homes. More experienced buyers ask tougher questions. When I bought a house in Dallas at a very young age, I didn’t even know what a flood plain was. Nor did I understand how inexact a science flood plain mapping can be. Or how quickly an upstream development can increase flooding downstream.

Within three years, I went from being two feet above the hundred year flood plain to ten feet below it.

Approximate outlines of development in white over MoCo floodplain map. Virtually half of the Northpark Woods subdivision is in floodplain (500year=brown, 100-year=aqua). New upstream developments have decreased the time of accumulation and increased flood peaks. See first graph above. Caution: the data behind these flood maps is from the 1980s and being updated.

The detention ponds on this site occupy the 100-year floodplain (aqua). About half the homes will be in the 500-year floodplain (brown). But keep in mind, the data on which this flood map is based has not been updated since the 1980s. So the real floodplains most likely cover far more area than shown here. Don’t be fooled by the 2014 date. The background image was updated then, not the height of the floods.

As long as less knowledgable people keep buying such homes in locations like these, developers will keep throwing them up.

Ironically, about three miles downstream, Harris County Flood Control is buying out another high density development near the West Fork. And Tammy Gunnels, only a quarter miles downstream – and in the 500-year flood plain – has now flooded 12 times in the last ten years.

Buyer Beware

Among the many other dangers of building in this location: river migration. The San Jacinto West Fork is migrating toward these homes at the rate of about 20 feet per year. When the river captures the abandoned sand pits next to these homes, it could migrate much faster.

The legal principle of “Caveat emptor” (Buyer beware) means that the buyer alone is responsible for checking the quality and suitability of goods before a purchase is made. Caveat emptor still applies when buying a house.

Most young people would not think to question when flood maps were last updated, especially if they see a date of 2014.

The data behind the flood map above is currently being updated as part of the San Jacinto River Basin Study by Harris County Flood Control, Montgomery County, SJRA and City of Houston. As of this writing, hydrologic and hydraulic models have been developed. Consultants are now calibrating those to known high water marks, such as those in this 2018 USGS study.

The USGS study shows that Hurricane Harvey at the Highway 99 gage (closest upstream gage) had an annual exceedance probability (AEP) of 2.4.

That means USGS classifies Harvey as a 42-year storm.

It could take years for that San Jacinto River Basin study to go through required public review and approval processes. Expect developers and other landowners to fight new maps every step of the way. More realistic flood maps will mean higher development costs for property that suddenly finds itself in a floodplain. And some properties could end up in floodways and be totally undevelopable. In the meantime, caveat emptor.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10.22.2019

784 Days since Hurricane Harvey

The thoughts expressed in this post represent my opinions on matters of public policy and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.

Text of Houston’s Cease and Desist Letter to Perry Homes Regarding Sediment Discharges from Woodridge Village

The full text of the City of Houston’s controversial Cease and Desist letter to Perry Homes regarding the recent flooding in Elm Grove and North Kingwood Forest, has finally been made public. Raines Rushin, an Elm Grove resident obtained the letter(s) through a TPIA request (Texas Public Information Act).

Summary of Letter

The letter focuses on the discharge of stormwater containing sand, silt, and sediment from the Woodridge Village construction site on September 19, 2019. Further, the letter alleges that this discharge caused severe damage to the City of Houston’s “Municipal Separate Storm Sewer System” (MS4) and to the property of citizens.

It cites a City of Houston Ordinance: Article XII – Storm Water Discharges, Division 6 – Illicit Discharges and Connections, Section 47-741. The ordinance reads as follows. “Discharge to MS4 prohibited (a) A person commits an offense if the person threatens to introduce, introduces or causes to be introduced into the MS4 any discharge that is not composed entirely of storm water.”

The letter ends by saying, “I hereby demand that you immediately cease and desist all future discharges of sand, silt, sediment and debris from your Woodridge Village Development site into the Municipal Separate Storm Sewer System of the City of Houston.”

Lawrence Childress, from the Stormwater Quality department within Public Works, signed it. Childress sent identical copies of the letter to:

  • Perry Homes
  • Figure Four Partners, Ltd. (A Perry subsidiary)
  • Double Oak Construction (A Perry contractor)

To see the full text, including addresses, click here.

What the Letter Does and Doesn’t Do

The letter is a “demand letter” not a court order. A demand letter is a warning shot across the bow of Perry Homes. The letter simply says, “If you do it again, we’re coming after you.”

Having said that, the demand letter does put Perry et. al. on notice. It describes the basis for legal action if the developer(s) allow sediment-laden storm water to leave their site again. As such, it has value in that it may motivate Perry, its subsidiary and contractor to fix problems that exist on the site. If they don’t and the problems recur, they will face a law suit.

The letter may also have value in that it eliminates a possible line of defense, i.e., ignorance of the fact that a problem existed. Perry Homes can not now claim that the City never told them of the problems.

Another benefit: Judges typically like parties in civil suits to try to settle their grievances outside of court if they can. This letter constitutes the first step in that process. It starts the “attempted settlement” clock ticking sooner rather than later.

Sides Are Talking, But No Concrete Results So Far

Having said that, the date on the letter says September 26. What has happened since then?

Representatives of the City met with Perry Homes et. al. on or about October 15. As a result of that meeting, the developers agreed to take the steps outlined in a second letter back to the City. Basically, that letter promised to finish all the detention ponds before building homes or more roads. But they did not agree to a firm deadline.

Residents observed minor activity after the City’s demand letter. Workers scraped eroded sediment out of one of their detention ponds. However, since then, residents have observed little to no activity on the site. No new excavation work has started on the three detention ponds on the northern section since Perry’s response letter on Thursday, October 17.

Reason for Lack of Progress May Go Deeper

In November of 2018, Perry said they hoped to be selling homes by the summer of 2019. So much for the idea of possibly needing another 780 days to finish the detention ponds!

The question is “Why the sudden stoppage after finishing the second detention pond (S2) on the souther section?” Usually time is money on a construction site; developers want to finish sooner rather than later. But work has virtually come to a standstill since August.

Since then residents have observed the S2 pond perpetually filled with water. To reach the pond’s target depth, contractors had to pump out water as they worked. Some question whether the water table in the area will allow Perry to achieve its stormwater detention goals. This would not be too surprising for an area of wetlands once criss-crossed by streams. Drainage converged here for thousands of years. See the drainage illustration from the LJA Engineering report below. The purple line represents the boundaries of Woodridge Village. Look closely at Section B.

Note all the streams converging in section B where Perry hopes to build 3 detention ponds and hundreds of homes. The streams have already been filled in with dirt.

Troubling Inconsistency in Letter

The City said in the cease and desist letter to Perry Homes et. al. that the sediment had caused severe damage to the City’s storm sewers. However, the City did not specify what damages were. And in public meetings in Elm Grove and at the Kingwood Community Center, Council Member Dave Martin told residents that the storm drains were NOT blocked. He said, “they’re so clean you could eat off them.” I’m not sure whether the drains are blocked or not.

The City has not yet completed its investigation of the sewers. But this is a troubling inconsistency. Frankly, looking at the ankle-deep much on Village Springs Drive next to Woodridge, I find it hard to see how the storm drains could NOT have sediment in them.

Abel Versa had to grab his car to avoid slipping in ankle-deep sediment on Village Springs. Rainwater alone would not have deposited so much muck.
Sand also covered the one street in Woodridge Village two days after Imelda. Note the height of the sand pushed up against and over silt fences by the storm.

If Perry is sincere about fixing this mess, they need to come clean (pun intended). They need to explain why they have stopped work in the face of such clear cut danger. They have substantially completed only 23 percent of the detention on their site and have stopped work. The public deserves to know why.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 10/21/2019 with help from Nancy Vera, Jeff Miller, Bill Fowler, Amy Slaughter, Judith Rehak, Josh Alberson and Raines Rushin

783 Days since Hurricane Harvey and 32 since Imelda

All thoughts in this post represent my opinions on matters of public policy and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.