Hurricane Season Starts Today, Plan Now

The 2022 Hurricane Season begins today – June 1. And as if on cue, the National Hurricane Center has already highlighted two areas to monitor.

Five day outlook from National Hurricane Center as of 8am 6/1/22.

Neither storm will threaten the Houston area. But this should serve as a wake up call. If you haven’t already done so, now is the time to prepare your family and home for hurricanes and their impacts. 

Above Average Hurricane Season Predicted

If you’ve lived in the Houston area for a while, you know how devastating the effects of just one hurricane can be. And NOAA predicts this will be an above average season.

It’s not just the rain that threatens us as it did in Harvey. Wind can knock down trees on houses and power lines. Power outages can last weeks, as they did during Hurricane Ike in 2008.

The eye of Ike passed right over the Lake Houston Area and knocked down so many trees that my business lost power for 19 days. At the start of that hurricane season, Butch Standerfer, a State Farm insurance agent in Kingwood, had alerted me to something called “Business Interruption Insurance.” We purchased it and thank God we did. Had it not been for that, the loss of income would have forced my company out of business.

Ike taught me many valuable lessons about planning before the storm, maintaining situational awareness during the storm, and recovery after the storm. Please share this post with your people and those new to the area.

Preparedness Is Key

“Hurricanes are one of nature’s most powerful and destructive natural disasters that we face. It only takes one to change your life,” said Tina Petersen, Harris County Flood Control District Executive Director. 

Preparedness can help minimize damages if a hurricane threatens the area. Here are some tips I’ve gathered from interviewing hundreds of storm victims.

Purchase Flood Insurance:

Harris County Flood Control District recommends that all Harris County residents become informed about their flood risk and have flood insurance no matter where they reside in the county.  Flood insurance accelerates the rebuilding and replacement of personal property and fosters community resiliency as a whole. 

For information on flood insurance, call your agent, visit the National Flood Insurance Program website, or call 1-888-379-9531.   

If you need help finding an insurance provider go to FloodSmart.gov/flood-insurance-provider or call the NFIP at 877-336-2627.

If you’re counting on FEMA or HUD disaster relief aid after a storm to repair your home, don’t.

Insurance is the only thing you can count on. I know people who lived or worked so far from flood threats that they didn’t think they needed insurance. Almost five years after Harvey, they bitterly regret that decision.

Sign Up for Flood Warning System Alerts:

The Harris County Flood Warning System offers an alert feature that lets you subscribe to email and/or text alerts that report near real-time rainfall and water levels. Customize alerts and notifications for bayous and tributaries in your area. The Alert Notification System will tell you how much water is headed your way and when/if flooding is likely.

Know Your Flood Risk:

View Flood Insurance Rate Maps and floodplain maps at FEMA’s National Flood Hazard Layer Viewer.  

You can also learn more about different types of flooding (street, coastal, riverine, flash, etc.) with Harris County Flood Control’s Flood Education Mapping Tool. This site has interactive features that let you view different types of flood threats in your neighborhood. For instance, clicking on the “ponding” button shows you where streets are likely to flood. It’s useful for planning evacuation routes and also when buying homes.

Locations susceptible to ponding near the center of Kingwood from Harris County’s Flood Education Mapping Tool. See reddish brown areas.
Study the Advice of Experts

Visit the Harris County Flood Control District Storm Center webpage or Resource Page to view the District Hurricane Guide, information on Flood Insurance and more.  

Bookmark Trusted Weather Pages:

Bookmark trusted sources of weather information. In addition to the sources above, bookmark the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service. Traffic to these sites is likely to be so heavy during a hurricane that they will bog down. So know the exact pages you want.

Make Your Plan:

USAA maintains a Natural Disaster Preparation Site for hurricane preparedness checklists. They advise:

  • Have an evacuation plan.
  • Create an emergency kit.
  • Keep your documents safe.
  • Review your health plan.
  • Inventory your belongings.

ReduceFlooding.com has dozens of links that can help you prepare for hurricanes, including special checklists for senior citizens and pets.

Count on Life Without Electricity for Awhile

Even if you don’t flood, the likely loss of electricity for an extended period will create hardships. Imagine not being able to store food, cook, watch TV, recharge your cell phone, access your Internet service, fill your vehicle with gasoline, use air conditioning, take a hot shower, turn on the lights, or use power tools to make repairs.

Plan for all those contingencies now and you should survive.

Posted by Bob Rehak on June 1, 2022

1737 Days after Hurricane Harvey

RV Resort Detention Pond Should Remain “Completely Dry Between Storms”

The controversial Laurel Springs RV Resort appears to have another problem with permit violations. The resort’s detention pond falls within the FAA regulatory limit and should remain “completely dry between storms.” But it’s not.

How Building Permit Reads

This notation is clearly marked on the resort’s detention and mitigation plan approved by the City of Houston on 12/2/2020.

Screen Capture from C3.4 – Detention and Mitigation Plan – approved by City of Houston.

While FAA regulations give owners two days to drain ponds after storms, the Laurel Springs RV Resort pond has remained wet for more than two months. See a sampling of pictures below.

March 23, 2022
March 28, 2022
April 30, 2022
Photo from May 3, 2022
May 15, 2022
May 25, 2022
Photo taken on May 30, 2022. Two months later, still not completely dry.
Purpose of FAA Regulation

I looked up the FAA Advisory above to see exactly what it said. To summarize the relevant portions of the 28-page document, they prohibit the construction of wet-bottom, stormwater-retention ponds within a certain range of airports. The concern: the water could attract ducks and geese that create a hazard for aircraft taking off, landing or circling. The detention pond for the Laurel Springs RV Resort falls within the regulated range of Houston’s Bush Intercontinental Airport.

Note the regulation above was revised about the time that the City of Houston approved the Laurel Springs RV Resort plans. While the wording in the replacement varies somewhat, the key point remains.

The FAA discourages land uses that attract or sustain hazardous wildlife within five (5) miles of airports to protect aircraft.

The updated report also states that 90% of bird strikes on aircraft happen under 3,000 feet.

History of Troubles

At first, contractors seemed to be doing everything they could to keep the Laurel Springs RV Resort pond dry. In January, they even opened up a trench in the southern wall of the pond to drain it into Harris County’s Edgewater Park, violating their TCEQ Construction General Permit. After they finally installed the permanent drainage, mysterious black spots started appearing on the floor of the pond.

Now it appears they’re just letting the water evaporate and leak out through the wall of the pond, running afoul of the FAA regulations.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 5/31/2022

1736 Days since Hurricane Harvey

The thoughts expressed in this post represent opinions on matters of public concern and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.

Editorial: Contrived Ignorance in Flood Mitigation

Last week, one of the biggest issues in Harris County flood mitigation came into sharp focus for me: contrived ignorance regarding flood-bond spending. Three things brought it into focus:

  • The completion of the $480 million Project Brays, the largest in Harris County Flood Control District’s (HCFCD) history. The Brays watershed has 58% low-to-moderate income (LMI) residents.
  • Commissioner Rodney Ellis’ repeated assertions that FEMA discriminates against projects in LMI neighborhoods, and that “all the funding” is going to affluent neighborhoods.
  • HCFCD’s release of the May update on flood-bond spending. It showed that less than one one-thousandth of one percent of active flood-bond construction dollars are going to the entire northeastern part of the county (Kingwood, Huffman, Humble, Atascocita, and Crosby).

Ellis keeps rubbing me the wrong way. Why inflame racial distrust, Rodney, with statements so far from the truth?

Ignorantia Affectata

I’ve always had trouble understanding politicians who deny reality. But it turns out Thomas Aquinas, the great Catholic theologian and philosopher from the Middle Ages, described the phenomenon 800 years ago. He called it ignorantia affectata, a Latin phrase meaning “affected or cultivated ignorance.”

I found a great description of it on this blog. “The deniers first deceive themselves that they are sincere in their adherence to falsehoods. Thus they cannot be faulted for acting on genuinely held views. But in truth, they have cultivated an ignorance of the facts, an ignorance so useful that one protects it at all costs … in order to continue using it in one’s own self interest.”

David Luban, a professor at Georgetown Law, wrote a brilliant essay on the ethics of “Contrived Ignorance” (a related concept) and the law. It begins with a poignant description of how criminal defense attorneys discourage defendants from telling them everything they know. Admitting guilt could limit their defense of the client, because the law forbids lawyers from lying or knowingly putting on perjured testimony. Luban also touches on another related concept, plausible deniability, so common in politics and business.

Plausible Deniability No Longer Plausible

After Ellis spoke at the ribbon cutting ceremony – for the largest project in flood control history – he can no longer plausibly deny that poor neighborhoods can’t get flood-mitigation funding. They do!

But he tried. He trotted out his tired distortion about higher value homes in affluent neighborhoods skewing benefit/cost ratios. The problem: it ignores density. Higher density more than compensates for higher value homes. And in fact, from the ribbon cutting ceremony one could see apartments several stories high, stretching blocks in all directions.

While Ellis leads people to believe that projects in LMI areas struggle to achieve Benefit/Cost Ratios above 1.0, Project Brays had a 7.0 ratio. That’s extremely high. See this 2019 Federal Briefing. It will return $7 for every $1 invested!

Rodney Ellis at ribbon cutting ceremony for the $480 million Project Brays. The project helps reduce flood risk in neighborhoods where Ellis grew up and also where he now lives.
Brays Bayou, looking west toward medical center from Almeda Drive.

Contrived Ignorance Vs. Informed Debate

The problem with contrived ignorance is that it prevents informed debate. Why would you look for evidence that undermined your world view? That prevented you from reducing flood risk in your neighborhood even further?

Why use the commonly accepted dictionary definition of “equitable” when you can redefine the word to serve your self interest?

I find it incredible that in 18 months, a majority of the Community Flood Resilience Task Force:

  • Has failed to define “worst first.”
  • Refuses to discuss what percentage of flood-mitigation funding affluent neighborhoods should get.
  • Won’t admit that flood-mitigation projects have already been built in their neighborhoods.
  • Is arguing about how to float another flood bond for $60 billion when we’re only 20% complete with the first $5 billion.
  • Won’t discuss whether 2-year flooding in affluent neighborhoods should be fixed before 500-year flooding in LMI neighborhoods.
  • Attributes past flooding to racially motivated neglect without examining the role of development practices
  • Recommended that HUD pay people only from poor neighborhoods to protest the unfair distribution of flood-mitigation funds.

When you try to discuss actual facts in Task Force meetings, shocked silence often greets you. Members keep talking about how they want facts. But a full year after requesting flood-risk data, no one seems concerned about the fact that they haven’t gotten it yet. Could this be what Thomas Aquinas meant?

Posted by Bob Rehak on 5/30/22

1735 Days since Hurricane Harvey

The thoughts expressed in this post represent opinions on matters of public concern and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.