disturbance following path of Alberto

Another Disturbance Following Path of Tropical Storm Alberto

Another disturbance is forming over the southern Gulf of Mexico where Tropical Storm Alberto formed earlier this week. However…

“Few impacts are expected along the upper Texas coast.” 

Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner

Satellite and surface observations indicate that the storm is moving slowly toward the WNW/NW.

“A deep convective band has developed well to the north of the broad surface low while other convective activity remains at a minimum,” said Lindner.

As of 15:00 Zulu time, which equals 10 AM in Houston

“Some additional development of this feature is possible over the next few days as it moves slowly toward the WNW/NW. Eventually it will make landfall along the eastern coast of Mexico,” he said.

50% Chance of Development

The National Hurricane Center currently gives this disturbance a 50% chance of development in the next two days.

As of 12:00 AM CDT on Saturday, June 22, 2024

“Given the broad nature of the surface low, it may take some time for the system to consolidate,” Lindner continued. “And it is equally possible that it runs out of time and makes landfall before developing into a tropical system.”

Possible tracks of storm system

Little Impact Predicted Along Upper Texas Coast

Generally there will be little to no impact of this system along the upper TX coast. Current elevated tides are the result of the subsiding wave action from Alberto and the current full-moon cycle. Elevated tides will continue to subside over the next few days.

“With high pressure building across the Houston area, moisture will remain mostly south of us,” concluded Lindner.

Three weeks into the hurricane season, most of the action has been in the Gulf of Mexico. This is consistent with earlier predictions. Forecasters predicted that the developing La Niña would reduce wind sheer in the Gulf. That allows more storms to build closer to Houston as opposed to the mid-Atlantic.

So check the National Hurricane Center daily. And make sure you’re prepared for a storm. The closer they originate to Texas, the less time we have to prepare for them.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 6/22/24

2489 Days since Hurricane Harvey