HCFCD Kicking Off Study to Make Half of Harris County SAFER

1/5/2025 – At a Community Resilience Flood Task Force Meeting in December last year, the Harris County Flood Control District (HCFCD) announced that it would be kicking off a new feasibility study in Q1 2025 designed to make half of Harris County SAFER from flooding.

SAFER stands for Solutions for Advancing Flood Mitigation, Equity, and Resilience. The study area includes 11 of Harris County’s 23 watersheds.

HCFCD issued this statement about the study.


Overview of Study from HCFCD

The SAFER Study has the potential to address one of the most impactful threats to the Houston/Harris County region: severe storm events that cause catastrophic flooding. 

This study will look broadly across the county and consider not only the effectiveness of large-scale flood mitigation projects within strategic locations, but also how they will function collectively as a system to provide flood mitigation, and the associated benefits, across broad regions of the county.

With the SAFER Study, the Flood Control District will be seeking to:

  1. Identify substantial, wide-ranging flood mitigation across the region rather than depending solely on smaller, incremental projects that address the needs slowly.
  2. Conduct the study in a way that allows the Flood Control District to identify flood risk reduction projects that could be cost-shared with the Federal government and constructed in partnership with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE).
  3. Identify project recommendations based on comprehensive benefits, which include social effects and environmental quality, as well as regional and national economic impacts.
  4. Identify opportunities to integrate nature-based solutions.

The study area spans across eleven (11) watersheds within Harris County, including:

  • Brays Bayou
  • Buffalo Bayou
  • Clear Creek
  • Cypress Creek
  • Greens Bayou
  • Halls Bayou
  • Hunting Bayou
  • Little Cypress Creek
  • Sims Bayou
  • White Oak Bayou
  • Vince Bayou

The goals of this study effort are to reduce flood risks and strengthen resiliency within Harris County, to be grounded in the principles of equity, to pursue larger transformational solutions with broad benefits, and to better prepare the region to withstand both the flood risks of today and those of the foreseeable future.  

The SAFER Study will evaluate traditional flood mitigation measures, such as increasing channel capacity and construction of new stormwater detention basins, as well as new options including large-scale stormwater tunnels, and non-structural measures.  

The study will consider social, economic, and environmental benefits and impacts while evaluating flood mitigation effectiveness.

While the Flood Control District will be leading the study, we will be following federal laws, regulations, and guidance applicable for feasibility studies of water resources development projects, such as the SAFER Study.

We will be working with USACE for input throughout the study process to ensure recommendations are developed that follow USACE policy and guidelines.

We anticipate initiating the SAFER Study during the first quarter of 2025.


Saving the Worst Flooding for Last

Twelve watersheds are not included in the study. Among them are two that had the worst flooding in the county during Hurricane Harvey: the San Jacinto and Spring Creek Watersheds.

worst first
Chart showing feet above flood stage of 33 gages of misc. bayous in Harris County during Harvey.

So much for the oft repeated promise to fix the worst flooding first. HCFCD did not explain why it is including only half the watersheds.

From Hurricane Harvey through Q3 2024, HCFCD spent $1,444,838,886 on mitigation and maintenance in all of the county’s 23 watersheds, excluding county-wide projects.

Of that total, the 11 watersheds included in the SAFER study have received $1,132,471,139. That’s 78% of the total.

The 12 watersheds excluded from the SAFER study have received only 22% of all HCFCD spending.

Data supplied to ReduceFlooding.com in response to a FOIA request.

Here’s how the forgotten majority looks in a pie chart.

More than half of the watersheds have received less than a quarter of all HCFCD spending since Harvey.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 1/5/25

2686 Days since Hurricane Harvey

The thoughts expressed in this post represent opinions on matters of public concern and safety. They are protected by the First Amendment of the US Constitution and the Anti-SLAPP Statute of the Great State of Texas.

Sedona: Erosion on a Spectacular Scale

1/4/25 – In a Houston-area-flooding context, we usually consider erosion as a negative. It reduces the capacity of streams, channels and Lake Houston. It can also form sediment dams like mouth bars that back water up.

But elsewhere, many consider erosion a tourist attraction. And I’m not just talking about the Grand Canyon.

Welcome to Sedona

During the holidays, I took a break from blogging about flooding to join a family reunion near colorful Sedona, Arizona. We actually stayed in the Village of Oak Creek, an unincorporated area about five miles south of the main part of Sedona.

Always alert for photo ops, I launched my drone from the back porch of our rented home and captured some photos of red rock, blue sky and spectacular erosion.

Looking NW
Same angle but closer. Notice different color in uppermost strata.
Looking NE.
Closer shot, still looking NE. Again, notice different colors in upper layers.

The rocks around Sedona are famously red due to their high concentration of iron oxide. Millions of years ago, the Sedona region was covered by a vast shallow sea that deposited layers of sediments rich in iron minerals.

Over time, these iron-rich layers were uplifted due to tectonic activity. The iron in the rocks reacted with oxygen, resulting in oxidation – the same chemical reaction that gives rust its red color.

Then, erosion sculpted the landscape – over millions of years. It exposed these oxidized rock layers, which now dominate the area and give Sedona its iconic red hue. But why did the land erode in some areas and not others?

Caprock Protects Some Areas from Erosion

The spectacularly steep cliffs around Sedona can be attributed to the uneven distribution of what geologists call “caprock.” The term refers to the hard, erosion-resistant rock layers that sit atop mesas, buttes, and cliffs. These layers protect the softer rock below from erosion, helping to shape the striking red rock formations that make Sedona famous.

The caprock was formed from ancient sand dunes and marine deposits about 250–275 million years ago during the Permian period. Over time, these deposits solidified into dense rock layers responsible for Sedona’s intricate geological artistry.

The Value of Rust and Erosion

Sedona reportedly received approximately 4 million visitors last year, rivaling the Grand Canyon. That’s more people than live in Houston and almost as many as live in Harris County. Sedona’s stunning red rock formations and outdoor recreational opportunities make it a major attraction for both domestic and international travelers.

Rainfall and Flooding

Sedona receives an average of 19 inches of rainfall per year – less than 40% of Houston’s average rainfall. However, Sedona still experiences three types of flooding:

  1. Flash Flooding:
    • Sudden, intense thunderstorms during the monsoon can cause flash floods. The steep terrain and rocky surfaces around Sedona lead to rapid runoff, overwhelming dry washes and creek beds.
    • Flash floods are particularly hazardous in areas like Oak Creek Canyon, where narrow canyons can funnel water quickly.
  2. River Flooding:
    • Sedona’s primary waterway, Oak Creek, can flood after prolonged rainfall or snowmelt from higher elevations. Heavy storms, particularly in winter, can cause the creek to rise significantly, affecting nearby properties and recreational areas.
  3. Urban Flooding:
    • Heavy rain can overwhelm local drainage systems, leading to localized flooding in lower-lying areas.

Oak Creek flooded badly from severe winter storms in 2005. One of the most significant floods in recent memory, it damaged homes, businesses and bridges.

In 2023, heavy rains led to flash floods that temporarily closed hiking trails and roads.

Such floods sculpted the landscape you see in the photos above.

More About Sedona

Spanish explorers first passed through the area as early as the 1500s.

Homesteading began in the late 1800s.

Sedona became a popular filming location for Western movies due to its dramatic landscapes. Films like “Stagecoach” (1939) and “Broken Arrow” (1950) were shot in the area, bringing international attention to Sedona.

Improved roads and infrastructure led to a tourism boom beginning in the 1950s.

Today, Sedona is known for its outdoor activities (hiking, mountain biking, and jeep tours), yoga retreats, art galleries, and night skies. Re: the last point, Sedona is designated as an International Dark Sky Community. Star gazers enjoy freedom from “light pollution” – there were no streetlights where we stayed!

Posted by Bob Rehak on 1/4/2025

2685 Days since Hurricane Harvey

Official Holiday Tornado Report from HCFCD

1/3/25 – Jeff Lindner, Harris County’s Meteorologist, provided this official holiday tornado report. Southeast Texas experienced a highly active period of severe weather from 12/24/24 through 12/28/24. It included several tornado outbreaks on both the 26th and 28th.

Said Lindner, “While it is not uncommon to have severe weather and tornados in southeast Texas during the winter months, it is a bit unusual to have back-to-back outbreaks one day apart.”

“Most tornados in this region are small and of low-end intensity (EF-0 or EF-1). It is rare to see the higher intensity EF-3 and longer track tornadoes here locally, but they do occasionally happen,” said Lindner.

He provided the following holiday tornado report on the two main days.

December 26th Tornadoes

Five tornados occurred across southeast Texas on Thursday, the 26th. They included 2 EF-1 and 3 EF-0 tornados.

  • EF-1 tornados (on the Enhanced Fujita scale) have winds from 73-112 mph that can cause moderate damage.
  • EF-0 tornados have winds less than 73 mph that generally cause light damage.
1. El Campo TX (Wharton County)
  • Rating: EF-1
  • Peak Wind: 95mph
  • Path Length: .50 mile
  • Path Width: 50 yards

This tornado began three miles northeast of El Campo and was on the ground for roughly half of a mile. The tornado mostly moved across open farmland, but one well constructed outbuilding (barn) was impacted and destroyed yielding the EF-1 rating. It is possible this tornado was stronger over the open farm fields, but without any available damage indicators, this will remain unknown.

2. Southwest Harris County (NW of Meadows Place)
  • Rating: EF-1
  • Peak Wind: 90mph
  • Path Length: .05 mile
  • Path Width: 25 yards

A brief tornado occurred one mile north-northwest of Meadows Place in southwest Harris County along Plumbrook Drive. It damaged a few houses and overturned a delivery truck. One of the houses sustained roof and outside-facing wall damage resulting in the EF-1 damage rating. 

3. Northern Liberty County (SE of Cleveland TX)
  • Rating: EF-0
  • Peak Wind: 75mph
  • Path Length: 6.8 miles
  • Path Width: 50 yards

This tornado began nine miles northwest of Dayton Lakes and moved eastward across mostly rural northern Liberty County. It damaged trees and two mobile homes consistent with winds of 65-75mph, earning it an EF-0 rating.

4. Lake Houston/Huffman (NE Harris County)

  • Rating: EF-0
  • Peak Wind: 60mph
  • Path Length: 2.1 miles
  • Path Width: N/A

HPD Lake Patrol and other video confirmed a tornado (waterspout) over Lake Houston north of FM 1960 that moved eastward across the lake and moved ashore along the eastern side of the lake in a wooded area. Survey teams were unable to find any damage near where the tornado reached the shoreline and the tornado dissipated quickly while moving onshore.

5. Dayton TX (Liberty County)
  • Rating: EF-0
  • Peak Wind: 60mph
  • Path Length: 1.1 miles
  • Path Width: 25 yards

A small tornado developed seven miles west of Dayton and moved across mainly open farm and ranch land. It downed a few trees. That helped storm spotters that captured the funnel cloud on video confirm that it was, in fact a tornado.

December 28 Tornados

Linder also said, “A more significant and damaging tornado event occurred from late morning to late afternoon on the 28th. Five tornadoes occurred from two primary supercell thunderstorms that moved across the area. Unfortunately, these tornadoes resulted in more significant damage with injuries and one fatality. Two EF-3, one EF-2, and two EF-1 tornados moved over the area.”

Paths of 5 tornados associated with two supercells on 12/28/24.
1. Brookshire Tornado (Waller and western Harris Counties)
  • Rating: EF-1
  • Peak Wind: 100mph
  • Path Length: 10.9 miles
  • Path Width: 150 yards

This tornado began west of FM 2855 in southern Waller County three miles north of Brookshire where a mobile home was moved off its foundation. The tornado continued northeast where it impacted a small area of houses south of Beckendorff Road and Noel Lane.

It rolled and completely destroyed one mobile home. Several other structures sustained roof and window damage. It also overturned vehicles in a driveway. Damage fell into both EF-0 and low-end EF-1 categories. The tornado continued northeast into a newly built subdivision where it destroyed 1-2 houses under construction and a brick privacy wall.

It then crossed FM 529 at Pitts Road just south of a Centerpoint power substation where it knocked down a power pole. Debris fanned across an open field and a subdivision detention basin.

The tornado then entered the Windward Subdivision near its southeastern edge. There, it damaged roofs, windows, and fences of 5-10 homes. One house lost all south-facing windows along with portions of the roof’s deck and outside facing wall siding.

This qualifies as EF-1 damage with winds estimated around 100 mph.  The tornado weakened as it moved north-northeast and dissipated west of John Paul Landing in northwest Harris County. 

Brookshire Tornado Path
2. Porter Heights to Splendora Tornado (Montgomery County)
  • Rating: EF-3
  • Peak Wind: 140mph
  • Path Length: 10.3 miles
  • Path Width: .65 mile
  • Injuries: 4

The same supercell that produced a Katy tornado continued northeast across northwest Harris County. It crossed the Bridgeland subdivision, then SH 249 near Spring Cypress, and continued northeast toward I-45/SH99. Both radar and Hooks Airport staff observed rotation, but not on the ground.

Porter Heights/Splendora Tornado Path on 12/28/24.

As this storm entered Montgomery County, the velocity increased and radar showed a debris ball near Porter Heights. Wind removed the entire roof structures of 1-2 homes. One brick house suffered complete outside wall failure and several interior wall failures. The twister also rolled a nearby mobile home, completely destroying it.

Damage indicated winds in the 140-145 mph EF-3 range.

Jeff Lindner, Harris County Meteorologist

The tornado then crossed FM 1314 where it destroyed large sections of a metal rental facility and a nearby mobile home. At this point, damage indicated high-end EF-1 or low-end EF-2.

The tornado weakened some while moving northeast across several rural streets and houses, but still caused significant tree damage. It then intensified as it moved into the Pickering Road area southwest of FM 1485. The twister heavily damaged or destroyed several RV’s and mobile homes. It completely removed the roof of Fire Station 154 and damaged three fire trucks. The twister even picked one up and rotated it 90 degrees.

North of FM 1485, it damaged several homes before crossing SH 242 into the Harrington Trails subdivision, removing nearly the entire roof of one home. The storm also completely destroyed several houses under construction.

The tornado continued northeast toward Splendora High School and dissipated in an open field after it crossed FM 2090.

Most of the storm’s track qualified as EF-1 or EF-2. Only a small portion near the beginning in Porter Heights rated EF-3.  Four people suffered injuries.

3. Liverpool to Hillcrest Tornado (Brazoria County)
  • Rating: EF-2
  • Peak Wind: 125mph
  • Path Length: 8.8 miles
  • Path Width: 300 yards
  • Injuries: 5
  • Fatalities: 1

This tornado began four miles ENE of Liverpool along CR 172 in a rural area and tracked into Hillcrest southeast of Alvin. Most damage indicated EF-0 or EF-1 strength. But at Walt Disney Elementary School several large sections of the roof were ripped off and portions of an exterior wall failed. That indicated EF-2 (125mph) strength.

The storm also flipped and destroyed a mobile home causing a fatality. The tornado dissipated prior to reaching the Galveston County line.  

Brazoria County Tornado Path on 12/28/24
4. Dickinson to Bacliff (Galveston County) 
  • Rating: EF-1
  • Peak Wind: 90mph
  • Path Length: 7.40 miles
  • Path width: 850 yards

The Brazoria County supercell produced another tornado near the intersection of Hughes Road between I-45 and HWY 3. It moved northeast across FM 517 and HWY 146, causing EF-1 damage to several homes with its 90 mph winds east of Dickinson High School. Along most of its path, the storm featured EF-0 (60-80 mph) winds. It downed trees, fences, and power poles and caused some roof damage.

The tornado continued east across Galveston Bay and reached into Chambers County.

Dickinson to Bacliff Tornado Path on 12/28/24
5. Chambers County 
  • Rating: EF-3
  • Peak Wind: 140mph (Chambers)/160mph (Jefferson)
  • Path Length: 22 miles
  • Path Width: 400 yards 
  • Injuries: 1 (Chambers) and (4 injuries in Jefferson County)

The Brazoria and Galveston County supercell intensified over Galveston Bay before tracking into Chambers County near Smith Point. The tornado destroyed several mobile homes along FM 1941, where EF-3 damage was noted.

The tornado then crossed HWY 124 destroying high-tension power-transmission towers with 140mph winds. The towers supplied power to High Island and the Bolivar Peninsula. Winds also lofted and rolled a pickup truck near Smith Point Road resulting in one injury. 

This was a significant tornado. It impacted mainly rural areas of Chambers County before crossing all of southern Jefferson County where high end EF-3 (160 mph winds) damage occurred in Hampshire TX. The tornado then moved between Port Arthur and Sabine Pass into southern Louisiana. 

Chambers to Jefferson County Tornado Path on 12.28/24

The holidays are usually happy times. But severe weather made them less so for many people in 2024.

Posted by Bob Rehak on 1/3/24 based on information provided by Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner

2684 Days since Hurricane Harvey